Cricket · resolved market
Punjab Kings vs. Kolkata Knight Riders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75a25fb630409cfe98097e94e3aca8a66c4a2a08de51496324cee1ab01bf3686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Punjab Kingsof Punjab Kings, Kolkata Knight Riders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Punjab Kings | 30c | 13,757$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,629.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +198.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Punjab Kings | 54c | 2,800$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.67 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 1,997$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.38 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 968$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.68 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…7a85backed Punjab Kings | 31c | 637.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Punjab Kings | 50c | 593.06$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 581.43$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Punjab Kings | 38c | 476.61$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Punjab Kings | 28c | 426.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.23 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Punjab Kings | 49c | 318.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…32d0backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 170.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 53c | 106.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 80c | 106$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 83.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 76c | 80$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…149ebacked Punjab Kings | 30c | 67.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Punjab Kings | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…4f6ebacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…a6c1backed Punjab Kings | 35c | 29.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 25.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…d44ebacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…3878backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.