TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Jets, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x109f…4f0cbacked Jets64c79,285$50,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,742.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0833…7191backed Islanders36c79,285$28,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,742.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Jets65c11,483$7,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,463.7110145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders36c6,562$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.9992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Islanders79c5,635$4,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.442441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.9wins-0.25per pick66cpaid-42.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Islanders35c3,260$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.1522842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Islanders37c2,917$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.821652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Jets13c2,545$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6232331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Jets63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9833652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Islanders37c1,913$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.1811533%38 W · 77 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Jets65c1,882$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.324457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c40…583bbacked Islanders36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Jets64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9602669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Jets64c1,480$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.2527958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Islanders64c1,327$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.33,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders37c1,263$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.221,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Islanders36c972$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.082445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Islanders35c910.43$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Jets48c607.89$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8216554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Jets34c606.61$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8111051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders39c405$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.8872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets51c376$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.121,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jets61c300$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18281846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Jets5c299.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb498…5fbdbacked Jets60c285$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Islanders39c253.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2221620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2da…3e76backed Jets65c248.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Jets62c233.87$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14538040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d4…9f1abacked Jets43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets57c223.22$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.631,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets60c220.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders35c215.18$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Jets47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Islanders37c211.44$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6154349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaed0…ff24backed Islanders40c176$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d3…7e80backed Jets60c175$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Islanders35c171$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1560549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Jets12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5085…ab8fbacked Jets62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2034…6549backed Islanders59c148$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c13…7ab3backed Islanders68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+115.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a63…4f83backed Jets58c146$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Islanders39c126.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.718440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jets61c112.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeff…8a39backed Islanders40c110$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+100.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde4…4cc7backed Islanders40c109$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+95.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1583…42a1backed Jets41c109$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2670…714bbacked Jets58c107$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Islanders55c106.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9965345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Islanders38c102.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9928440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Jets66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6626059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Islanders37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6328542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Jets65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653461.8%21 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0dd…e156backed Islanders37c92.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.332240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc178…1a40backed Jets59c92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Jets65c87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.557550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc00e…eb8abacked Islanders35c84$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a2…db41backed Islanders35c80.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Islanders35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5251044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb876…c723backed Jets65c78.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.342450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets64c77.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18dc…6e79backed Jets65c71.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.532653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17a3…c517backed Islanders41c69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee33…2b1abacked Jets59c68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…3094backed Jets57c66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd8b…e9f0backed Islanders40c65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d4…a0f1backed Jets41c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8b…014bbacked Islanders36c63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+115.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb257…4403backed Islanders41c62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71df…c916backed Islanders40c61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421e…2e6bbacked Islanders40c61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef93…79f2backed Islanders37c59.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.241957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x010a…7b08backed Islanders36c58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x581d…3255backed Jets58c58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Islanders35c57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0520942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e0…30ccbacked Jets64c57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fe…9ebdbacked Islanders41c56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+85.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc6…56debacked Islanders35c56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+106.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac9…9154backed Islanders41c56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8542…90c6backed Jets60c55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4e…03edbacked Islanders36c55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…7df8backed Islanders36c54.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x728c…4e58backed Islanders37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb71e…fa19backed Islanders42c54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80fa…e69dbacked Islanders40c54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb734…502cbacked Jets65c53.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fe…16debacked Jets60c53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Jets65c52.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2873157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ee…2f00backed Jets63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.54365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41be…3677backed Islanders43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…b050backed Islanders41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b3…2ababacked Islanders42c49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f7…34a3backed Islanders42c49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9551…0f9cbacked Islanders42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…52d1backed Jets60c48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x979f…6c5abacked Islanders35c47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8a…3dfabacked Islanders40c47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.