NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57f237a579253e3fb0a370f8575299c77d5bb1fd6e7ccbec1c4b7bf843ec6ffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x641b…6116backed Nets | 57c | 18,031$10,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,277.64 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Wizards | 43c | 16,525$7,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,478.47 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Nets | 52c | 13,355$6,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,936 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Nets | 53c | 12,739$6,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,785.53 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Wizards | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.97 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nets | 62c | 8,300$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nets | 56c | 8,182$4,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,570.91 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Wizards | 43c | 7,204$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wizards | 35c | 6,728$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,364.24 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Wizards | 76c | 6,324$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.88 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nets | 52c | 5,984$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.68 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nets | 47c | 5,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 50c | 4,730$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.42 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Nets | 59c | 4,143$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Nets | 55c | 3,552$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.69 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 41c | 3,511$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.95 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets | 57c | 3,094$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.6 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Nets | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Wizards | 45c | 2,698$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Nets | 65c | 2,370$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.19 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Wizards | 43c | 2,302$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.33 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Wizards | 46c | 2,172$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.05 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Nets | 63c | 2,128$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.95 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nets | 63c | 2,029$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.1 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wizards | 41c | 1,990$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.86 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Nets | 65c | 1,935$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Wizards | 61c | 1,855$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nets | 2c | 1,850$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Nets | 61c | 1,850$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.53 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Wizards | 45c | 1,652$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.11 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Wizards | 43c | 1,520$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.23 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Nets | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 41c | 1,315$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.32 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nets | 39c | 1,276$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…7cd2backed Wizards | 45c | 1,117$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.27 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Nets | 55c | 1,088$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.33 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nets | 59c | 1,040$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.6 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wizards | 45c | 1,005$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.72 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Nets | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…2456backed Wizards | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Nets | 59c | 1,000$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nets | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Wizards | 37c | 999.85$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.9 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nets | 2c | 991$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…21f8backed Nets | 62c | 899.93$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Nets | 28c | 856.74$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.48 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Wizards | 44c | 812$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +122%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Wizards | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Wizards | 45c | 799.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Wizards | 37c | 791.89$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.89 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Wizards | 37c | 784.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.53 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…957abacked Wizards | 46c | 780$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42c…df2dbacked Wizards | 52c | 729.21$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets | 56c | 720.06$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.38 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 41c | 697.04$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.3 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Wizards | 66c | 695.26$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.39 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Wizards | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 42c | 639.59$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.15 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f4…a015backed Nets | 54c | 603.25$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Wizards | 35c | 549.89$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.43 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Wizards | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 44c | 505$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.18 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Nets | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…9b41backed Wizards | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…55ccbacked Nets | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a057backed Nets | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…1305backed Nets | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…69dabacked Wizards | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf486…e6dfbacked Wizards | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacc…be87backed Nets | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…611fbacked Wizards | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…2d54backed Wizards | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…f1babacked Nets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…59a4backed Wizards | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…4c4bbacked Nets | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…d2a5backed Wizards | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…357fbacked Nets | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…c2bbbacked Wizards | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…eb45backed Nets | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…6754backed Nets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…1a1dbacked Nets | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029f…afacbacked Nets | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…1f2bbacked Nets | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a40…82cebacked Wizards | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…7cabbacked Wizards | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…f346backed Wizards | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…3806backed Nets | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…e734backed Wizards | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…22a7backed Wizards | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…1054backed Wizards | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…7242backed Nets | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5934…d2e7backed Nets | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…6662backed Nets | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1890…4b11backed Nets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e52…98d0backed Wizards | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b3febacked Wizards | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -6.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…8328backed Nets | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…886fbacked Nets | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.