TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Buccaneers win the NFC South?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes25c13,661$3,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,238.535724.6%14 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f5…18a3backed Yes18c8,366$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,840.961030%3 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick16cpaid+134%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes25c4,993$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,754.4612843.8%56 W · 72 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x481c…73eebacked No77c4,362$3,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.221050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+122%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f6d…6b4ebacked Yes24c4,260$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.51921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes32c4,250$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.026540%26 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes22c3,054$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.3514248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No43c2,924$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.8813430.6%41 W · 93 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No7c2,688$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1626830.6%82 W · 186 L-29.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Yes10c2,550$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.988729.9%26 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Yes24c2,360$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.69259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes38c2,193$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.62828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes25c2,060$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.420440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes45c1,619$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.221809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes34c1,574$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.95628.6%16 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a14…0762backed Yes24c1,307$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.6710239.2%40 W · 62 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes68c1,100$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.8812570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No77c1,031$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.612022.5%27 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9141…7ffabacked No46c910$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f6…6710backed Yes54c910$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4208…8897backed Yes54c910$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0139…e296backed No46c910$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f86…54d6backed No52c900$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No45c899.03$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.722434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes32c779.14$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.482330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No47c700$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.1419638.8%76 W · 120 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Yes29c590$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.2224351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2855…afffbacked No76c554.99$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.92347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed No33c500.73$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed No16c500$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4317823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed Yes26c500$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2310246.1%47 W · 55 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0274…307bbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.672714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-54.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f4…1e3dbacked Yes30c402.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.061118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes51c400$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19728433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No69c360$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.439754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3676…fd35backed No74c360$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Yes56c357.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7928337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4825…007dbacked Yes27c351$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e38…5d7fbacked Yes28c350$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c5…faeebacked Yes29c349$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.081625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Yes30c339.82$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.872254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed No16c245.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.367123.9%17 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes8c210.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.812239.3%48 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes41c210$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3615332%49 W · 104 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc395…5c8cbacked No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9596…2259backed No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed No9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177718.2%14 W · 63 L-11.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes57c199.72$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7220733.8%70 W · 137 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6248…51cfbacked No77c198$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.462536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Yes51c197.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.15444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…bf70backed Yes23c192.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.231050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4124…fe54backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.414261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd769…0f06backed No21c166$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes42c138.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1441540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x000f…04acbacked No21c136$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+138.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Yes56c128.57$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.573520%7 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d9c…7b90backed No21c127$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581d…bdabbacked Yes19c120$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+87.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No48c117$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6752828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4100…8ec3backed Yes79c116$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ae39backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c8…24dcbacked Yes25c111$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2520557.6%118 W · 87 L+16.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b39…666cbacked No23c107$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc095…5d72backed No21c101$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7444246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7316259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a77…6d5bbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+133.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf091…a187backed Yes79c99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e4…4308backed No22c99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde4…4cc7backed No21c98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x178a…8dc4backed Yes79c98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eab…df8bbacked No21c96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d77…7c1ebacked No23c85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes40c85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.434926.5%13 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fdd…604ebacked No47c83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d58…fd3cbacked No38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d1…3269backed No21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691b…5f00backed No21c77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceaa…396fbacked Yes79c77$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfd…9bbdbacked No27c77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1778…e00ebacked No30c74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8374…f621backed No21c74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+121.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2329…3a05backed Yes80c71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+121.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcec…d792backed No21c71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeea…8921backed Yes79c71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2d…3102backed Yes79c71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3301…891bbacked No21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a35…7545backed No21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…eb6ebacked Yes54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.24560%27 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd572…4ebfbacked Yes79c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…f5acbacked Yes79c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaba9…6e9cbacked Yes78c68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c9a…5b29backed Yes57c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…9946backed Yes79c64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf028…2570backed Yes79c62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec1…929ebacked Yes68c62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…0488backed Yes79c62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.