TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Falcons win the NFC South?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0997…c238backed Yes53c27,115$14,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,451.841250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcabd…4da5backed Yes50c10,059$5,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,029.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2696…bec8backed Yes50c10,059$5,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,029.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe487…af15backed No50c10,059$5,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,029.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cea…ca73backed No50c10,051$5,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,025.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c0…759abacked No50c9,921$4,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,960.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a38…61ebbacked Yes50c9,921$4,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,960.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes31c4,089$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.8713430.6%41 W · 93 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes7c3,887$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.125724.6%14 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes46c3,484$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.612828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes7c3,031$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1426830.6%82 W · 186 L-29.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x708f…f236backed No47c2,298$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.85922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a14…0762backed No46c2,121$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.3510239.2%40 W · 62 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes24c1,624$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.7622434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed No64c1,484$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.673336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x340f…3cf5backed Yes22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes61c1,334$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.851809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Yes39c1,093$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1928337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…f2f6backed Yes55c1,020$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.89022.2%20 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Yes51c1,009$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.442661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c4…a48bbacked Yes51c882.35$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes62c817.66$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.2741540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes44c779.14$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3392330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed No64c634$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0510246.1%47 W · 55 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2855…afffbacked Yes50c535.46$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.322347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2559240.2%37 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed No22c450.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.4316259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77cf…0e71backed Yes56c450.01$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.823351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed No66c441.18$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15020440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes50c309.11$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.563030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+81.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed No31c299.45$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6716439.6%65 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes52c296.87$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6512022.5%27 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa472…45aebacked No45c250.78$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.932133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f53…1081backed No65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.54639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6168…8199backed Yes52c243$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf7b…dd7bbacked No51c233.38$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes18c225.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.51749.5%7 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9596…2259backed Yes9c209.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…aee3backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Yes13c178.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.014226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes15c162.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.511508%12 W · 138 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75c7…5ef8backed No51c156.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.62222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes27c145.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.415332%49 W · 104 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed No47c143.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0925643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaf9…8d1cbacked Yes21c132$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa32b…e132backed Yes30c126.93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8110626.4%28 W · 78 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x685e…bb41backed No48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes27c101.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278837.5%33 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2efc…5686backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534314%6 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick23cpaid+39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7941…c675backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020950.7%106 W · 103 L-15.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314926.5%13 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4adc…7639backed No63c96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.522737%10 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d5c4backed Yes35c93.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4863…a266backed Yes53c86.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e24…44b1backed Yes38c86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…7910backed Yes21c76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517248.3%83 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4907…031cbacked Yes21c67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021b…3c73backed No46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.222055%11 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f2d…3102backed Yes35c65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x543b…b933backed No79c64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ee…dc5dbacked Yes21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd2…3b94backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd57…1fdbbacked No64c57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d8…d42abacked Yes24c57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No29c53.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.217346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6248…9776backed Yes22c53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…7f20backed No79c52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef94…502ebacked No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252937.9%11 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+46.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe6b…f255backed No46c48.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.18862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick32cpaid+115.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6248…51cfbacked Yes49c47.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.412536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x000f…04acbacked No79c43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+138.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd4…ccacbacked Yes50c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2b…6f16backed No56c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…bba1backed Yes49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ba…885bbacked Yes46c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86bb…351abacked No58c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…b7a1backed No79c41$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5df…1931backed No58c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffaf…842abacked Yes46c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1de8…20b9backed No56c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bde…69b3backed Yes50c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f9…f191backed Yes49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e04…0988backed Yes49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…7761backed Yes50c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c3…dcb8backed No56c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1be5…1dcdbacked No56c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f7…f11cbacked No56c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4977…ab1ebacked No57c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec1…929ebacked Yes50c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747a…1acdbacked Yes46c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf674…1cf8backed No58c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc18a…76c6backed Yes46c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd462…2591backed Yes50c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c8…153ebacked No56c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2c…fbfcbacked Yes49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc125…ef7cbacked No57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe319…8176backed No79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8622…ffd1backed Yes48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x490f…87cfbacked Yes48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.