NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c4f91e8a58cc9013d19c28e1d84a4f997668d01f3756ac729a4c1802d181e6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Red Wings | 55c | 6,466$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.56 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Red Wings | 25c | 6,128$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.5 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Red Wings | 31c | 3,257$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.22 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Red Wings | 30c | 3,000$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.08 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Oilers | 70c | 1,942$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.27 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Red Wings | 30c | 1,900$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Oilers | 70c | 1,768$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.77 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Oilers | 70c | 1,706$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Oilers | 68c | 1,556$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.88 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 14c | 1,500$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.42 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Oilers | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.85 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Oilers | 72c | 1,090$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.89 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oilers | 64c | 1,000$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.6 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Oilers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 28c | 882.46$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.37 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Oilers | 18c | 700$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers | 70c | 630$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 69c | 602.09$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.44 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Oilers | 69c | 544.99$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.04 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…cc0dbacked Red Wings | 30c | 533.61$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Oilers | 72c | 531.9$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.9 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…ba4abacked Red Wings | 30c | 514.94$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 29c | 504.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.33 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Oilers | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Oilers | 72c | 467.22$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Oilers | 69c | 444$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Oilers | 55c | 442.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…b508backed Red Wings | 30c | 422.63$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +180.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f4…a015backed Oilers | 71c | 422.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Oilers | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Red Wings | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Red Wings | 34c | 317.94$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Red Wings | 35c | 283.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings | 28c | 277.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.73 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Red Wings | 62c | 266.56$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…4655backed Red Wings | 39c | 263.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.86 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Oilers | 68c | 250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…cadfbacked Red Wings | 30c | 244.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers | 70c | 229.06$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Oilers | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Oilers | 66c | 206.87$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Oilers | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…44c4backed Red Wings | 30c | 186.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Red Wings | 13c | 170.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Red Wings | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Red Wings | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Red Wings | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c93…8f21backed Red Wings | 30c | 134.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a6…7f82backed Red Wings | 30c | 130.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Red Wings | 31c | 129.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Red Wings | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Oilers | 71c | 120$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…a08abacked Red Wings | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Red Wings | 30c | 106.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Red Wings | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…2fcfbacked Oilers | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Red Wings | 28c | 99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Oilers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Oilers | 68c | 90.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Oilers | 63c | 71.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 53c | 71.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Oilers | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…0ac2backed Oilers | 71c | 68.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 34c | 65.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings | 28c | 61.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…2c06backed Oilers | 71c | 61.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc663…4aa8backed Oilers | 70c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Oilers | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Oilers | 70c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings | 30c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…af9abacked Red Wings | 30c | 43.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Oilers | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Oilers | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Red Wings | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Oilers | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde3a…4c77backed Oilers | 71c | 27.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…8dd9backed Oilers | 71c | 23.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598d…b18bbacked Oilers | 67c | 23.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Oilers | 70c | 21.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…6f25backed Oilers | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Oilers | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Oilers | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e48…da87backed Oilers | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…b359backed Oilers | 71c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf611…3dccbacked Oilers | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…c9ccbacked Oilers | 71c | 16.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…3bb9backed Oilers | 71c | 16.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…3009backed Oilers | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…c686backed Oilers | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…72d8backed Oilers | 70c | 15.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…039bbacked Oilers | 70c | 15.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Oilers | 68c | 15.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…0b1ebacked Oilers | 71c | 14.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.