TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Sharks, Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf699…07e1backed Sharks36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44085464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames68c2,000$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.7497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks40c1,821$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.551,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Sharks28c1,609$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.2932331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Flames63c1,000$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.9785148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Flames70c797.03$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.0323761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Flames67c793.11$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.7349351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks32c710$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Sharks28c561$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.081,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Flames67c559.89$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7615663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Sharks30c496.78$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0329847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks32c495.1$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.431,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Flames61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.87634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flames67c476.41$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Flames68c352$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.649251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd835…0d2dbacked Flames61c317.16$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Flames56c268.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0411051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa718…fdc4backed Flames68c255.47$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flames67c223.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1850…e582backed Sharks33c221.73$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Sharks33c216.82$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5538040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f3b…7064backed Sharks33c186.36$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63d3…046fbacked Sharks33c170.21$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58e2…dae0backed Sharks33c168.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377e…fb4bbacked Sharks33c165.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flames68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Sharks35c143.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9d…41f9backed Sharks33c122.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1347…d256backed Sharks33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Sharks42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Flames68c118.13$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.35450%27 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78cf…77e6backed Flames71c110.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Flames63c101.59$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5954418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Sharks40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Sharks33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3322246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Flames69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3126059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Flames67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3381846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed Sharks20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Sharks40c98.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.527643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x921e…5acbbacked Sharks33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Sharks40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af4…dc6abacked Sharks33c84.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.765937.3%22 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames69c81.93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Flames68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5376450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Flames68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Flames67c69.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.088440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd87…f55ebacked Flames68c68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.76875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba4…8964backed Flames68c67.65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.652347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06a…0fb2backed Sharks33c66.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks30c63.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.123,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Sharks41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Sharks33c59.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Sharks32c52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.647936.7%29 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b45…8a3fbacked Sharks33c51.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x577e…ab13backed Flames70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f2…b8a9backed Sharks31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd947…5330backed Flames68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Sharks34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.16246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0603…374cbacked Sharks33c48.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde71…070ebacked Sharks33c48.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3b…5955backed Sharks32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7eb8…2f0ebacked Sharks33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aad…e6cabacked Sharks33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d2f…f304backed Sharks33c43.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b48…82dfbacked Sharks33c41.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.692445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3772…841dbacked Sharks32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf162…7169backed Flames69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb734…502cbacked Flames68c38.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2fb…1187backed Sharks33c37.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Flames69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2345954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Sharks33c34.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6510638.7%41 W · 65 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Flames67c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5658346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3225…e1d9backed Sharks32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa77c…cb14backed Flames64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.253438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bdd…e736backed Flames68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…af37backed Flames68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Flames69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9912369.9%86 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Flames69c28.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8915158.3%88 W · 63 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…3bc1backed Flames70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08d8…dcd4backed Flames69c28.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4c…8f46backed Flames68c26.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.471070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…b8a8backed Flames63c25.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6710…00c9backed Flames80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53737.8%14 W · 23 L-7.8wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-41.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7413…a22abacked Flames68c23.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.452268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+41.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadab…2f80backed Flames68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdde2…db05backed Flames68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f0…3563backed Flames68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x438f…35ffbacked Flames68c20.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d66…9050backed Flames68c20.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x035c…a64abacked Flames68c18.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…732abacked Flames68c17.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d8…13e0backed Flames68c15.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.85875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf524…cd0bbacked Flames68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.