TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,368
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,368 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2cc0…f722backed Stars69c5,358$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.335450%27 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sharks31c3,389$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.7472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Sharks30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9824546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Stars70c2,130$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.959251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Sharks17c1,887$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars74c925.73$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.363,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars69c804.57$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.5723761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Stars68c799.51$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4549351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Sharks29c683.57$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3325340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks30c604.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks31c588.76$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.521,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Sharks33c522.61$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks30c511.84$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.351,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc3…3097backed Stars70c495.71$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.711353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9a…062fbacked Sharks31c493.55$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sharks31c484$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0460549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Sharks31c323.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Sharks6c320$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Sharks33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sharks31c290.02$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9179251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Sharks31c290$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.948149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6927958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Stars58c257.13$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1328542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars70c215.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.321,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks31c211.35$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars69c199.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0181846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Sharks14c189.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8422842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325d…515cbacked Sharks31c156.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.57850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…cc6dbacked Sharks31c148.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.021136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6330…4546backed Stars71c139.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.982152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Sharks54c119.21$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.739553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Stars70c97.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1419150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1720…ef36backed Sharks31c93.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaef9…0b2bbacked Stars70c92.86$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.862045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Sharks31c90.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a08…8630backed Sharks30c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271625%4 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x25de…a006backed Stars71c89.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.752065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98ae…85febacked Stars71c88.38$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.631963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x485f…b9bebacked Stars70c77.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da8…1321backed Stars70c76.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53a3…5642backed Stars70c76.19$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.86875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef79…251ebacked Stars71c73.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc895…ff63backed Sharks31c72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.321250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25b0…586bbacked Stars70c70.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.271060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5afb…57d0backed Sharks29c65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.851275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f57…2ac8backed Stars71c65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.851747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…1e0abacked Sharks29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1b…8b7dbacked Stars71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf9…50f2backed Sharks27c51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Stars70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1545954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed4…d04fbacked Stars70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x615f…cf7abacked Sharks30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…5f39backed Sharks30c37.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7dc…91a6backed Stars70c37.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4429…2e4dbacked Stars70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.718669.8%60 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Stars70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.716041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a05…b92abacked Sharks42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ba…8ae2backed Stars58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…ffdebacked Sharks32c34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab0…31f2backed Stars70c32.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6d…387bbacked Stars73c32.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d45…14f4backed Sharks42c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c0…ec6fbacked Stars58c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…c1febacked Sharks42c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38e…886bbacked Stars68c30.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ca…ab71backed Stars58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf091…a187backed Stars67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb509…40fdbacked Sharks42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb21…202bbacked Stars70c29.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4401…9ea1backed Stars73c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb192…ebc8backed Stars69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Stars70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.574240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f34…3bd9backed Stars71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.173174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb113…c93abacked Stars67c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d52…6bbebacked Sharks42c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2491…bd80backed Stars58c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39cc…0cd2backed Stars58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78ce…bb68backed Stars72c25.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79d8…9c05backed Stars73c23.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.26683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+60.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2285…3ab3backed Stars70c22.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x430a…8853backed Stars73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb67f…2d1bbacked Stars69c21.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad5…01a8backed Stars71c21.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Stars71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1315549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0a5…edfdbacked Stars66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf481…4d29backed Stars64c19.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd88…ff25backed Stars70c17.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.244100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa129…e0bfbacked Stars70c17.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f81…3097backed Stars66c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…589bbacked Stars70c15.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x119b…a085backed Stars72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f2f…5cd2backed Stars73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2c…7dd6backed Stars67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1821…0e4dbacked Stars70c14.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc189…fcd4backed Stars73c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.