NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c1b7d08b1465456118f19f8324832b3e0068364008e637cc96e97b6cec5ccd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Flames | 52c | 7,725$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Red Wings | 49c | 3,590$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.26 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Red Wings | 50c | 3,511$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.64 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Flames | 11c | 3,149$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.34 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…79e4backed Red Wings | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…cc9fbacked Red Wings | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…b5dcbacked Flames | 52c | 2,250$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…46e2backed Flames | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,827$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.33 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 14c | 1,629$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.36 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Flames | 7c | 1,358$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Flames | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Flames | 52c | 1,221$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Red Wings | 66c | 1,026$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.16 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1f3cbacked Flames | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…3f8cbacked Flames | 53c | 934.88$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Red Wings | 52c | 785$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.85 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Flames | 48c | 780$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flames | 51c | 747.97$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.46 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings | 47c | 690$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.08 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 50c | 668.1$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.05 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Flames | 51c | 665.6$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flames | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 48c | 505$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.71 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Wings | 67c | 497.01$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.01 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings | 47c | 391.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.04 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 48c | 364.71$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.58 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings | 49c | 341.71$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Flames | 19c | 236.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 9c | 228.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…e671backed Red Wings | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Flames | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Flames | 54c | 204.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb55e…856bbacked Red Wings | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flames | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Flames | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Red Wings | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Flames | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Flames | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9528…8c40backed Flames | 52c | 121.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf47a…2d0abacked Red Wings | 50c | 109.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…c56cbacked Flames | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…4897backed Red Wings | 50c | 105.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Flames | 10c | 104.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Flames | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Flames | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Flames | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flames | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Flames | 51c | 99.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…a488backed Flames | 52c | 96.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Flames | 53c | 91.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd6…0f46backed Red Wings | 48c | 77.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Red Wings | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…f770backed Flames | 54c | 58.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…cfcfbacked Flames | 53c | 57.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Red Wings | 46c | 53.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Red Wings | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Flames | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Flames | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b1…f45cbacked Flames | 54c | 45.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…ec93backed Flames | 52c | 44.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…005fbacked Red Wings | 49c | 43.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0c…5b8cbacked Red Wings | 48c | 43.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…b088backed Red Wings | 48c | 42.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…395fbacked Flames | 52c | 42.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…912dbacked Flames | 54c | 40.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971d…37aabacked Red Wings | 48c | 40.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fc…e931backed Red Wings | 46c | 40.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…5f0bbacked Red Wings | 47c | 39.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1db0backed Flames | 54c | 38.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0014…e75dbacked Red Wings | 46c | 38.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…b2f0backed Red Wings | 47c | 38.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc531…47e5backed Red Wings | 48c | 36.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…ce81backed Red Wings | 48c | 35.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d0…3b15backed Flames | 53c | 35.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…2436backed Flames | 52c | 34.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd19…aea9backed Red Wings | 48c | 34.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x244e…25d8backed Flames | 52c | 34.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…2e75backed Red Wings | 48c | 34.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…4be2backed Flames | 54c | 33.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…2ba0backed Red Wings | 46c | 31.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Red Wings | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…c4febacked Flames | 52c | 29.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe70…53b3backed Red Wings | 46c | 29.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…91a0backed Flames | 52c | 28.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f7…a577backed Red Wings | 49c | 27.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings | 56c | 27.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…f85cbacked Red Wings | 48c | 26.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…6447backed Flames | 53c | 26.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…d8c6backed Flames | 54c | 25.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…4b61backed Flames | 53c | 24.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…c882backed Flames | 51c | 23.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…ac69backed Red Wings | 48c | 23.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7892…7e05backed Red Wings | 46c | 23.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b9…e058backed Flames | 52c | 22.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…2c3cbacked Flames | 54c | 22.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.