TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Kings, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,067 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Kings5c4,196$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Panthers61c1,709$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.384955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings37c1,559$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.5435545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers73c1,172$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.283,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Kings26c1,152$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9928842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kings39c1,116$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.2429847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Panthers61c999.62$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.8985148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Panthers58c909.33$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.927361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Kings42c826.04$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.945450%27 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings42c745$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.91,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Panthers58c645$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.913756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kings43c599.96$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0138040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76d1…72b5backed Panthers59c570.51$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Panthers60c555$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22223761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings41c504.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers58c503.89$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Panthers60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16050049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Panthers61c360.66$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6613457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Panthers59c339.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.536953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Kings40c328.11$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2425340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Kings38c308.68$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.785322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Kings42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Kings30c221.88$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6772448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Panthers63c206.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3512859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Panthers57c205.6$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4131849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.51,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Panthers61c197.54$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5415456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Panthers59c168.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.29554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e09…86a4backed Kings32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings40c149.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Panthers59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.597062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed Kings41c132.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.443452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47cd…012dbacked Kings43c130.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings41c130.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers57c127.63$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea7…8e04backed Kings42c125.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…ca49backed Panthers59c124.58$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bef…9be3backed Kings43c117.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad5d…4678backed Kings43c107.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa490…ba96backed Panthers59c106.92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3789…a08abacked Kings43c105.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Kings42c101.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4345954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Kings42c101.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4328542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Kings42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4234032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Kings40c99.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9927643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Kings41c99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Panthers61c90.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.233438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeadf…e8c6backed Panthers59c79.39$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.55850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed4…d04fbacked Panthers59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.323360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Kings43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Panthers60c57.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8743256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Kings43c57.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbe7…faecbacked Kings42c54.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50d7…79a1backed Panthers59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Kings40c50.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0216447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed Kings40c49.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993650%18 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f49…c686backed Panthers79c47.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb02a…b26bbacked Kings42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2142…79fdbacked Kings41c46.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.212556%14 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Kings43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x031f…e9aebacked Panthers59c45.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.791266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d1…a789backed Kings43c44.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f3…6160backed Panthers53c43.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf104…e841backed Kings42c43.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eaf…3bc8backed Panthers58c42.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Panthers59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.378445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Panthers59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3718259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x88b8…c972backed Panthers59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.37944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Panthers60c41.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.721957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8455…349cbacked Kings41c40.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58bb…1bd7backed Panthers58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.85054%27 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kings40c39.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96be…9911backed Kings43c39.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a6…37fdbacked Kings42c39.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5db6…d160backed Panthers58c39.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5a…fe7bbacked Kings46c38.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a83…daf8backed Kings42c38.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ad…78d3backed Panthers52c36.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b8…e598backed Kings48c36.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers57c36.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.651,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0847…17c3backed Kings44c35.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fa…442dbacked Panthers56c35.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x803d…0229backed Kings48c35.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b8b…e219backed Panthers52c35.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd229…fcd6backed Kings39c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86d2…10a9backed Kings45c34.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16a8…b903backed Panthers59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+52%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ee2…e2afbacked Kings42c33.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4592…c0e1backed Panthers58c33.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…c30ebacked Kings42c32.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Panthers71c32.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.399553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d3…071bbacked Kings42c31.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe2…be0abacked Kings43c31.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27d…b513backed Kings40c30.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Panthers74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.917054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19c3…e270backed Kings44c29.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d89…8ef1backed Panthers56c29.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14c0…550ebacked Panthers58c28.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9292…a92abacked Panthers60c28.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.