NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa7b791256ba309edb2a02bfccf6cafcc79139a179e7104bbc74406fa18c7d64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Hornets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 697 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 70c | 11,746$8,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.74 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 29c | 11,011$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.52 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Heat | 67c | 6,233$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.98 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Heat | 71c | 4,714$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.01 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Hornets | 33c | 4,400$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.94 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 50c | 4,195$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…1609backed Heat | 64c | 3,359$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hornets | 38c | 3,263$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.41 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Hornets | 45c | 2,928$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.78 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets | 49c | 2,837$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.4 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Heat | 69c | 2,819$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.53 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 48c | 2,776$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.95 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Hornets | 29c | 2,744$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.76 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 67c | 2,527$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.29 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Heat | 61c | 2,481$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.6 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Hornets | 38c | 2,460$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.55 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…d7fdbacked Hornets | 34c | 2,430$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Heat | 79c | 2,022$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.15 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 70c | 2,014$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.97 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Hornets | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Hornets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 66c | 1,894$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.1 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Heat | 54c | 1,850$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.6 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets | 33c | 1,831$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.95 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Hornets | 35c | 1,782$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.72 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Hornets | 36c | 1,701$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.32 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 61c | 1,698$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.93 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Hornets | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Hornets | 45c | 1,542$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 12c | 1,515$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.77 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Heat | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Heat | 67c | 1,298$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.55 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Heat | 71c | 1,089$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.81 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Heat | 73c | 1,077$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 67c | 1,026$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.88 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Hornets | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Hornets | 55c | 924.69$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.58 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…55c8backed Hornets | 39c | 914.62$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…152cbacked Heat | 62c | 914.44$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Hornets | 51c | 911.54$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.33 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets | 39c | 897$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.83 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Heat | 45c | 884.89$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.69 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hornets | 35c | 857.06$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.29 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Heat | 61c | 837.42$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.43 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…2257backed Heat | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Heat | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Heat | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Hornets | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Heat | 61c | 664.13$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.01 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hornets | 39c | 646.15$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Heat | 61c | 632.79$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.79 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Hornets | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Heat | 64c | 622.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Hornets | 36c | 576.31$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.47 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 62c | 566.25$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Heat | 71c | 551.59$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.01 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets | 31c | 485.57$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Heat | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Heat | 62c | 460.63$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.04 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Heat | 62c | 426.03$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…5a81backed Hornets | 48c | 417.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 39c | 412$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Heat | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Heat | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Heat | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Heat | 69c | 391.09$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Hornets | 36c | 333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…e5ffbacked Heat | 75c | 332.14$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Heat | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Heat | 71c | 287.49$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Hornets | 18c | 278.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Hornets | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Heat | 55c | 251.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Hornets | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…ae1abacked Heat | 69c | 247.61$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95e…6096backed Hornets | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Heat | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 64c | 202.05$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat | 68c | 197.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Heat | 77c | 190.39$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Hornets | 29c | 189.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Heat | 59c | 182.02$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Heat | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Hornets | 39c | 173.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Hornets | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Hornets | 33c | 165$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Heat | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…1baabacked Hornets | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c28…3bcabacked Hornets | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…b24cbacked Hornets | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…affbbacked Hornets | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…97d8backed Hornets | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…86bdbacked Heat | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d8…ddfcbacked Heat | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950b…6d88backed Hornets | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…3ab5backed Hornets | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.