MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa56104155674d485a7f0ca5c754ae67a9aba1af4dfb4f165f9dc022a4362c7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof White Sox, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed White Sox | 31c | 70,000$21,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,700 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 69c | 69,905$48,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,670.49 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed White Sox | 24c | 30,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.99 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rays | 76c | 25,387$19,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,092.84 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed White Sox | 32c | 21,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.99 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked White Sox | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.93 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 4c | 18,021$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.86 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 68c | 12,410$8,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Rays | 67c | 7,650$5,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.5 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rays | 68c | 7,125$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.52 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 67c | 6,592$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Rays | 67c | 6,160$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.8 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked White Sox | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Rays | 66c | 2,222$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.48 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 71c | 1,890$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed White Sox | 33c | 1,629$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.73 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed White Sox | 5c | 1,622$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed White Sox | 19c | 1,284$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.83 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rays | 66c | 1,078$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.52 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked White Sox | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…d078backed Rays | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Rays | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox | 32c | 610$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed White Sox | 9c | 608$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed White Sox | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked White Sox | 33c | 551$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rays | 66c | 534.95$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.88 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 65c | 527.72$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.7 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked White Sox | 21c | 514.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rays | 76c | 513.07$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Rays | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…8475backed White Sox | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked White Sox | 9c | 452$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked White Sox | 19c | 415.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…ab89backed White Sox | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed White Sox | 26c | 369.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 34c | 332.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked White Sox | 33c | 313.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.19 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 68c | 313.23$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Rays | 66c | 302.66$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox | 33c | 296$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed White Sox | 17c | 281.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 66c | 281.12$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Rays | 78c | 262.61$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 76c | 258.89$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Rays | 78c | 249$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 78c | 231.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rays | 78c | 222.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked White Sox | 33c | 220$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 33c | 220$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Rays | 78c | 219.52$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked White Sox | 5c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 67c | 173.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b4…9d74backed White Sox | 34c | 153.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…28b3backed White Sox | 35c | 152.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed White Sox | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rays | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked White Sox | 21c | 143.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Rays | 67c | 131.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Rays | 68c | 130$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked White Sox | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rays | 76c | 111.36$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rays | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rays | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed White Sox | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Rays | 78c | 94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rays | 67c | 92.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed White Sox | 32c | 81.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed White Sox | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…0b34backed Rays | 67c | 79.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…3014backed Rays | 66c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…df21backed White Sox | 34c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…a05bbacked Rays | 67c | 77.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…fa45backed Rays | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd61…069fbacked White Sox | 34c | 77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Rays | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4c…12e8backed Rays | 67c | 75.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…01d6backed Rays | 67c | 75.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…ee61backed Rays | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…312fbacked Rays | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ed39backed White Sox | 29c | 68.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Rays | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Rays | 75c | 58.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Rays | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 67c | 56.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Rays | 71c | 53.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Rays | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469b…5d1fbacked White Sox | 34c | 50.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed White Sox | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked White Sox | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Rays | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed White Sox | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.