TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rockiesof Cardinals, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Cardinals60c25,018$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Rockies40c20,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,00053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Rockies40c17,044$6,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,181.2544456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Cardinals40c13,787$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Cardinals60c10,168$6,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,109.8526847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies55c6,438$3,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.3797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockies39c6,100$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,700.921,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Rockies39c4,257$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,596.895450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Cardinals37c3,793$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40466645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals60c3,322$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.612,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Cardinals61c3,279$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Cardinals59c2,700$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59338249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockies40c2,534$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52073352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Cardinals60c2,375$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.7650852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x105d…786abacked Cardinals11c2,328$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Cardinals60c2,142$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.9538047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Cardinals13c2,040$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6417927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rockies40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Rockies41c1,905$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.026550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals25c1,673$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.351,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals39c1,594$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.0795930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies66c1,567$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.843946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Rockies40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals13c1,364$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.859,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Cardinals4c1,340$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7938444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Cardinals10c1,300$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Cardinals61c1,148$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70061346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Cardinals1c1,100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Cardinals60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies79c909.7$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.583,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…ede5backed Cardinals59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rockies53c742$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.7254941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rockies41c655.59$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.85,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies41c609.99$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.891,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies39c609.98$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.0944443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Rockies40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36033852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Rockies42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34824253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies40c551$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.624547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b33…391ebacked Rockies42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Cardinals10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies73c391.78$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.781,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Cardinals38c350$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.411,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies62c336.12$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6480680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies73c320.81$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.422,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Cardinals59c318.63$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9916352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f6…1e55backed Cardinals33c318.56$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.211533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals4c308$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.054754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies40c296$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies41c278.05$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.052,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Cardinals60c272.4$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4414649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals14c258.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.464,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de4…aa6dbacked Cardinals58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.3wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-73.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rockies40c249.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9940548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rockies42c247.62$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Rockies41c244$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9631347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies41c242$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.781,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals58c220.42$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.541,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30be…3566backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9f…8483backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf716…c440backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c2…0705backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8a…1a07backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5322…6b5fbacked Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5070…0039backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9ee…7fb2backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbe…fbe3backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9752…bd2ebacked Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183271.9%23 W · 9 L+7.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+46.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4e4b…d536backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4f…2737backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…18cfbacked Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa444…c492backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc909…6393backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa51b…8938backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bf5…ee08backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7811…36d3backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a54…7d39backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…9abcbacked Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafbd…67aebacked Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb75…bd65backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…06b5backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b2…88d1backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d59…569ebacked Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e57…836cbacked Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffe…8149backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3601…43dfbacked Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b6…d335backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183450%17 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f02…8dcebacked Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183450%17 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…2883backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x411f…5a20backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb72d…aa23backed Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc312…d500backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12de…d4b5backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf26c…12acbacked Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a1…8edfbacked Rockies41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…aa96backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.