TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Piratesof Tigers, Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,957 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers15c12,632$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.072,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Tigers55c7,122$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.213352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers58c5,235$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,036.31,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Pirates42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Tigers55c4,607$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.937455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates45c4,522$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.11,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates43c4,493$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.351,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pirates45c4,209$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.951,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates44c3,884$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.031,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Pirates42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.9911555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Tigers57c3,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.996550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Tigers3c2,850$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9415642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Pirates43c2,331$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.521,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Tigers58c2,244$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.527548%36 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Pirates45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.226154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Tigers5c2,100$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10523545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Tigers58c2,061$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.460451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Tigers57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers20c1,540$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.229,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Tigers1c1,466$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.568762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers54c1,184$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.451,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pirates43c1,050$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.55648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Tigers58c793.1$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2209…823ebacked Pirates43c790.7$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.71040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tigers56c715.34$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40061346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Tigers55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38524248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates43c615.19$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.872,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cef…d42cbacked Tigers56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Tigers55c455$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2546631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa98a…8f31backed Tigers56c454.55$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.55966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Tigers56c454$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2411961.3%73 W · 46 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Pirates45c381$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.551,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Pirates43c341.86$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8622546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Tigers18c332.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates41c300.36$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.532,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78c4…a801backed Tigers4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.560%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Tigers4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.55852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates59c298.38$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4454941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates41c284.95$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.121,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Tigers52c251.15$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5821246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Pirates42c220.03$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.521,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates45c210.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.671,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5f97backed Tigers34c206.9$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708146.9%38 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Pirates71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5812924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Tigers58c199.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9931347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Tigers56c187.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10516659.6%99 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Tigers29c187.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1238444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Tigers56c179$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2413843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tigers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Tigers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Pirates45c177.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.786425%16 W · 48 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates45c170$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.52,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Tigers56c157.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8817149.7%85 W · 86 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Tigers30c151.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Tigers52c146.73$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7638743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers26c140.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.934,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Pirates71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8513151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b85…3d86backed Tigers53c135$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b6…e624backed Pirates47c135$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.55825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa8…a58ebacked Tigers59c120.95$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.361833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Tigers53c113.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12cf…c8f5backed Pirates46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Pirates71c103.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6460052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Tigers23c102.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4870841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ca…c3c9backed Tigers56c101.79$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573740.5%15 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Pirates45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Tigers58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5869547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Tigers55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5566751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5838949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb926…3822backed Pirates43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6927…7e6bbacked Tigers58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Pirates70c84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3925364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb645…ca95backed Pirates43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.773145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates56c60.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0280680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xe621…8182backed Tigers56c60.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b5…8445backed Tigers58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd920…b7b6backed Tigers55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3316752.1%87 W · 80 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…b254backed Pirates43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b97…f5ebbacked Tigers59c59.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf391…73c3backed Tigers56c56.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8529552.2%154 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x126f…f94dbacked Pirates42c52.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pirates44c52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.21,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Pirates45c50.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.851,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a6…fe2abacked Tigers59c50.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick61cpaid-62.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x05aa…bf38backed Tigers58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c9f…d5c0backed Tigers58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…6232backed Pirates43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20d…36e1backed Pirates43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9944…5d15backed Pirates43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4596…702abacked Pirates42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Pirates43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5151245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd39c…8a14backed Pirates43c45.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.983148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf62…227dbacked Pirates43c44.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3318850%94 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Tigers59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Pirates71c41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8268769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40fe…95c7backed Tigers59c40.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.