Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Mensik vs. Opelka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ac29797732bfe83aaeaba7b1517f7a3baec67aa77ec4f91ff676363553fdda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mensikof Mensik, Opelka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Opelka | 36c | 2,044$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.15 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Mensik | 64c | 2,042$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.19 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Opelka | 35c | 1,375$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mensik | 66c | 1,000$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.04 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Mensik | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Opelka | 36c | 909.12$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.27 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Opelka | 35c | 833$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.22 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Opelka | 13c | 720.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Opelka | 36c | 540$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Opelka | 33c | 480.77$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Opelka | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Mensik | 66c | 399.01$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mensik | 64c | 372.95$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Mensik | 67c | 322.78$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked Opelka | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Mensik | 66c | 147.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Mensik | 64c | 109.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mensik | 67c | 109.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mensik | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Opelka | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Opelka | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Mensik | 65c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ba…1f30backed Opelka | 36c | 74.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Opelka | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Mensik | 71c | 63.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Opelka | 36c | 28.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Mensik | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.