CS2 · resolved market
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: Complexity vs. TYLOO
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadda5ff1044a5af29d3569f96ff49cb009efe7e8639c4f973d03fa4d104d5980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof Complexity, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked TYLOO | 65c | 1,918$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.99 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed TYLOO | 35c | 1,304$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.64 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Complexity | 63c | 1,250$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.64 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed Complexity | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Complexity | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Complexity | 2c | 962$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked TYLOO | 41c | 961.67$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.05 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TYLOO | 38c | 931$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.22 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Complexity | 21c | 777$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Complexity | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed TYLOO | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Complexity | 62c | 320.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Complexity | 25c | 295.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed TYLOO | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Complexity | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked TYLOO | 63c | 132$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TYLOO | 71c | 114.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked TYLOO | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…038bbacked TYLOO | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…3acfbacked TYLOO | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed TYLOO | 40c | 69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Complexity | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Complexity | 57c | 43.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Complexity | 66c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed TYLOO | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.