Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Keys vs. Kenin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9273175e616038e78533cf78f5d54d06d0d3e3c391cc5f14398d44663052a85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keysof Keys, Kenin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Kenin | 8c | 4,816$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.81 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Kenin | 29c | 2,645$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.05 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Keys | 41c | 2,455$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.94 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Keys | 65c | 2,302$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.76 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Keys | 41c | 1,913$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.48 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Kenin | 19c | 1,154$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Kenin | 45c | 1,151$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.54 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Keys | 55c | 1,110$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.55 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Keys | 71c | 1,029$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Keys | 57c | 882.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.96 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Keys | 69c | 725.81$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Kenin | 60c | 708.89$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.55 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Kenin | 37c | 683.22$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Keys | 50c | 586.56$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.79 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Keys | 51c | 562.12$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.07 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Kenin | 65c | 537.76$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Kenin | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Kenin | 75c | 400$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.87 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Keys | 76c | 330.26$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Keys | 70c | 330$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kenin | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kenin | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked Keys | 62c | 260$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Keys | 49c | 222.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.66 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Keys | 60c | 219.17$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Kenin | 50c | 148.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…1d6bbacked Keys | 60c | 94.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Kenin | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Kenin | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Kenin | 26c | 38.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…b91ebacked Keys | 74c | 35.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.