WNBA · resolved market
Lynx vs Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x209127e707aa56686720e78cba14768a7164ba3a26eb67840142553f7b75a8f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mysticsof Lynx, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mystics | 24c | 12,755$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,748.85 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mystics | 34c | 8,836$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,862.12 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…94f3backed Lynx | 78c | 8,356$6,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,510.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Lynx | 77c | 5,070$3,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Lynx | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mystics | 23c | 4,563$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.27 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mystics | 23c | 4,300$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lynx | 73c | 4,098$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.82 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…430cbacked Lynx | 77c | 3,713$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mystics | 23c | 2,826$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lynx | 76c | 2,464$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.54 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Mystics | 23c | 2,391$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 28c | 2,050$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mystics | 22c | 2,013$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.91 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 24c | 1,485$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.9 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lynx | 79c | 1,473$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.16 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Lynx | 62c | 1,099$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mystics | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lynx | 78c | 976$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.65 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mystics | 21c | 894.6$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.56 | 856 | 58.4%500 W · 356 L | +70.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Mystics | 22c | 865.5$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Lynx | 80c | 806.46$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.17 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mystics | 22c | 691.53$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.51 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lynx | 78c | 682$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.17 | 399 | 50.4%201 W · 198 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lynx | 72c | 666$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.52 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Mystics | 31c | 528.28$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.68 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Mystics | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Lynx | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Lynx | 74c | 340$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.3 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lynx | 76c | 140$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lynx | 65c | 140$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mystics | 26c | 104$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…61d5backed Lynx | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mystics | 62c | 77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…5256backed Lynx | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Lynx | 74c | 69.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Lynx | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mystics | 35c | 63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Lynx | 79c | 63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Lynx | 49c | 61.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Mystics | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Lynx | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mystics | 21c | 49.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Lynx | 45c | 35.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…436bbacked Lynx | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.