MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1a53f94b557f6502fb4b4fa8e8680f383a62eb404f337bfcedce1aa715c5115
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Royals | 40c | 25,000$9,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,032.85 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 59c | 17,755$10,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,526.63 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Royals | 73c | 13,055$9,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.24 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 15c | 7,165$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.67 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Padres | 42c | 6,940$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.96 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Padres | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Royals | 53c | 3,754$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.76 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Padres | 47c | 3,219$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.93 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Royals | 41c | 2,992$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.35 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Padres | 59c | 2,964$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.76 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 61c | 2,948$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.27 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Royals | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 60c | 2,500$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.65 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 39c | 2,395$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.77 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Padres | 47c | 2,182$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.67 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 43c | 2,008$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.96 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Royals | 39c | 1,897$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.43 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Padres | 31c | 1,618$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 19c | 1,463$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 59c | 1,426$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Royals | 69c | 1,345$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.57 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Padres | 17c | 1,140$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 32c | 1,082$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 60c | 1,042$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 43c | 999.94$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Royals | 42c | 990.2$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.32 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Padres | 62c | 968.34$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Royals | 39c | 813.37$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.16 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Royals | 52c | 716.79$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.79 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Royals | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Padres | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 46c | 501.95$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.91 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Padres | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 5c | 480$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…918fbacked Royals | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Padres | 60c | 439.98$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.88 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Padres | 59c | 417.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.61 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Royals | 53c | 417.37$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Padres | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Padres | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Royals | 68c | 369.16$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Padres | 14c | 357.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Royals | 43c | 333$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Royals | 41c | 323.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 14c | 300.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Royals | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 39c | 254.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 41c | 243.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Padres | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Padres | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Padres | 59c | 185.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Padres | 61c | 175.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Padres | 59c | 147.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 35c | 146.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Royals | 43c | 144$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 28c | 143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 61c | 112.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 65c | 110.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 20c | 109.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Padres | 38c | 104.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…556cbacked Padres | 62c | 102.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Royals | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Royals | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Royals | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Royals | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Padres | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Padres | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Padres | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 41c | 99.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Royals | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Padres | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Royals | 42c | 72.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 49c | 70.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…4b3ebacked Royals | 47c | 67.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 41c | 66.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Padres | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Royals | 79c | 61.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb48…7f7cbacked Padres | 60c | 55.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Padres | 41c | 54.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Royals | 79c | 50.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Padres | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Royals | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Royals | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19c…3e81backed Royals | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…c5e1backed Royals | 50c | 47.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Royals | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Padres | 56c | 42.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Padres | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed Padres | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Royals | 75c | 32.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Royals | 41c | 31.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Royals | 39c | 27.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Royals | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Royals | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.