WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fdd389c65cb6b8b1e902e6725249dcc4ea9d1cec7345e419aa57bc80bcc668c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wingsof Wings, Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sun | 37c | 37,426$13,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,782.29 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Wings | 63c | 13,513$8,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.56 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wings | 63c | 9,961$6,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.57 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Wings | 62c | 6,089$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.47 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sun | 36c | 5,635$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.68 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Sun | 39c | 4,078$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wings | 70c | 3,262$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.3 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Wings | 62c | 3,196$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Wings | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wings | 62c | 2,785$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wings | 62c | 2,400$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.16 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Wings | 63c | 2,243$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.72 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…c0eebacked Wings | 59c | 2,210$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wings | 63c | 1,966$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.51 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…8d19backed Sun | 38c | 1,900$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wings | 65c | 1,771$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.73 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sun | 19c | 1,700$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sun | 36c | 1,455$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.8 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sun | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wings | 63c | 900$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wings | 63c | 900$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.63 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Wings | 63c | 722$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Wings | 68c | 649.14$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wings | 65c | 536$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wings | 67c | 478.57$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Wings | 64c | 333.01$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sun | 39c | 282.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wings | 72c | 229.43$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Sun | 35c | 214.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wings | 62c | 169.42$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sun | 27c | 151.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wings | 65c | 134$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sun | 36c | 120.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wings | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Wings | 65c | 119$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Sun | 21c | 105.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wings | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Wings | 66c | 69.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Sun | 32c | 53.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Wings | 67c | 52.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Wings | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sun | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Wings | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Wings | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Wings | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Wings | 76c | 36.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Wings | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Wings | 66c | 29.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wings | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Wings | 64c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Wings | 63c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…436bbacked Wings | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.