Tennis · resolved market
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2025 HSBC Championships?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51331921ebaf6d65fe79954dab0b7b89398cba4b966ad2a6a856d13205b0b302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 20c | 4,000$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 80c | 2,416$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 23c | 1,760$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.97 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 19c | 731.72$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 12c | 662.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 20c | 500$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 22c | 288.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 21c | 167.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 23c | 162$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Yes | 19c | 130.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Yes | 20c | 102.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +12.2wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +399.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2025 HSBC Championships?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 HSBC Championships?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 HSBC Championships?Yes won
- Will Holger Rune win the 2025 HSBC Championships?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2025 HSBC Championships?No won
- Will Reilly Opelka win the 2025 HSBC Championships?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 HSBC Championships?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.