Champions League · resolved market
River Plate vs. Monterrey: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f0df71a232cd000c601e6bbcb031a07946091e3b06064bc338854b1e82c97e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 52c | 6,187$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.81 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 48c | 4,949$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.52 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 45c | 2,759$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.71 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 47c | 2,073$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.07 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 55c | 1,392$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.4 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 48c | 572.02$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.57 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 46c | 451.79$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…c96bbacked Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 52c | 340.38$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 48c | 313.69$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 48c | 169.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 46c | 161.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 53c | 133.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 47c | 88.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 53c | 71.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…bfafbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Yes | 58c | 29.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…0868backed Yes | 48c | 20.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.