TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rockiesof Diamondbacks, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Diamondbacks61c50,000$30,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,50016643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rockies39c48,573$18,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,629.5360451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks75c14,000$10,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,457.0479740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…40cabacked Diamondbacks65c9,996$6,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,497.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066d…e36ebacked Rockies35c9,995$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,496.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1878…6f4abacked Diamondbacks32c9,671$3,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,130.963145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rockies65c9,111$5,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rockies22c8,536$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,679.751,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies36c6,692$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.631,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies40c5,646$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,404.19,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies38c5,500$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4101,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks26c5,120$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33245248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies72c4,756$3,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.221,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Diamondbacks61c3,945$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.4516352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies33c3,685$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.911,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Diamondbacks62c3,200$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98469249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Diamondbacks74c2,700$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00028447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Diamondbacks61c2,500$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.143654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies39c2,319$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.662,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks70c2,180$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.7480955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Rockies35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9527953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks63c1,810$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.381,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks65c1,623$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.9531346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Diamondbacks29c1,559$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.0112624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Diamondbacks27c1,099$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1654941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Rockies66c1,068$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.0225550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Diamondbacks35c999.13$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.58530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Diamondbacks64c917.99$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.5127751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks56c900$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Diamondbacks47c846.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5123,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Diamondbacks29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rockies61c671.23$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.6140547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Diamondbacks60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36033852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies77c545.21$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.141,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13068656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Diamondbacks36c489.87$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.352542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockies71c431$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1271,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Rockies38c424.91$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.4511153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed Diamondbacks61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504055%22 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Rockies36c361.63$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6322312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Diamondbacks48c354.2$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Diamondbacks27c352.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.191752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks75c324.04$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0383248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Diamondbacks62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Diamondbacks68c294.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4323938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1295930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks61c281.1$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5385047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rockies36c278$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9240548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Diamondbacks61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507042.9%30 W · 40 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b57…d285backed Rockies43c240$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.421435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa116…6f3bbacked Rockies74c212.43$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.736648.5%32 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies34c199.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies34c198.84$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2344443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks31c192.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks55c190.4$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.492,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Rockies57c184.13$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4868769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a4c…0cc5backed Diamondbacks67c179.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204231%13 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Diamondbacks61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Diamondbacks65c153.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Diamondbacks66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Diamondbacks66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003129%9 W · 22 L-8.0wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-50.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x82b9…3e7ebacked Rockies67c147.49$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.013540%14 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcd…6bddbacked Rockies73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9917558.9%103 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d16…029ebacked Diamondbacks36c129.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.282250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac46…ca4abacked Rockies36c100.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.174245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks65c99.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rockies27c91.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4338743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies54c89.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1697950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Diamondbacks24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202552%13 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rockies35c78.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.361,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Diamondbacks65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks40c63.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.574,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Diamondbacks61c56.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7651955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Rockies64c56.52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5726847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Diamondbacks33c49.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.198434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1752…9ababacked Rockies35c45.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Diamondbacks60c44.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8720649.5%102 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0db…9f6bbacked Rockies36c44.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61c0…21febacked Rockies58c43.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.182740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7687…d750backed Diamondbacks61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Rockies65c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.219566.2%129 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies39c31.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1276456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Diamondbacks65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2074356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Rockies35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.543542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies40c28.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.961,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2c…b96cbacked Diamondbacks62c27.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Rockies40c27.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3337552.5%197 W · 178 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Diamondbacks54c26.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2120944%92 W · 117 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab4e…8622backed Diamondbacks66c24.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Rockies49c24.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4542955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0641…1985backed Diamondbacks60c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef44…66afbacked Diamondbacks68c20.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.816472%118 W · 46 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4203…9217backed Diamondbacks66c19.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks63c18.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.535,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Rockies79c15.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3425952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.