Cricket · resolved market
Gujarat Titans vs. Chennai Super Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f9eda043d798af6bd39ca0a194b38749fd6241df1fbf4eb4bb28053e7f39b27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chennai Super Kingsof Gujarat Titans, Chennai Super Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Chennai Super Kings | 64c | 171.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…3878backed Gujarat Titans | 8c | 166.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Gujarat Titans | 27c | 151.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…9f1abacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…5b6bbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Chennai Super Kings | 25c | 133.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab67…0d78backed Gujarat Titans | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 72cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x368a…9c24backed Chennai Super Kings | 49c | 126$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…51efbacked Gujarat Titans | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…6c73backed Gujarat Titans | 53c | 124$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Chennai Super Kings | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Chennai Super Kings | 43c | 112.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Chennai Super Kings | 57c | 107.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Gujarat Titans | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0f…9111backed Gujarat Titans | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3a…f674backed Gujarat Titans | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…3941backed Chennai Super Kings | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4050…5889backed Gujarat Titans | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cb…0377backed Gujarat Titans | 73c | 41.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18e…014abacked Gujarat Titans | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…92f0backed Gujarat Titans | 63c | 25.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…4226backed Gujarat Titans | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…db34backed Gujarat Titans | 63c | 23.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…8ff6backed Gujarat Titans | 64c | 19.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.