Champions League · resolved market
Fluminense vs. Ulsan: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b318c38c7614fd9d792b3c185cc3d7feb22921b6fd668209c920bfbede2cdf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 48c | 2,784$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.75 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 50c | 1,946$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.08 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 50c | 1,921$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.57 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 52c | 1,833$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.7 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.72 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…1822backed Yes | 53c | 780$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…508ebacked No | 47c | 615$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 51c | 505.46$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.79 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf258…0cebbacked No | 47c | 385$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 50c | 233.4$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…0562backed Yes | 53c | 115$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked No | 52c | 111.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa5…492fbacked Yes | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 70c | 97.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 50c | 85.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…bfafbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed No | 54c | 45.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…3487backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 45c | 30.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.