TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Oleksandr Usyk beat Tyson Fury in Ring of Fire?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1dbd…af92backed No57c7,586$4,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,306.951315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a2d…2bf6backed Yes49c7,403$3,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,778.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Yes72c6,858$4,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.96837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked No52c4,349$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d7…3b49backed Yes50c4,212$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…7984backed Yes51c3,927$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes48c3,310$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.12564%16 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No55c3,270$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.931520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No54c3,221$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.62742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7405…7b9fbacked Yes53c2,827$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa5…098dbacked Yes47c2,785$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe7…145abacked Yes49c2,303$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff98…908ebacked Yes43c2,303$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6205…577abacked Yes49c2,034$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.05540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ea…6984backed Yes47c1,943$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2103…96d2backed Yes48c1,780$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e4…6a0ebacked Yes45c1,681$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31da…086dbacked Yes49c1,636$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadf7…ef7abacked Yes47c1,318$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4273…19d8backed Yes18c1,310$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.4633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4562backed Yes49c1,189$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.771346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df2…01afbacked Yes45c1,145$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5acb…f817backed Yes52c1,006$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c4…d57dbacked Yes48c977.94$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ed5…ef26backed Yes51c974.01$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f5b…9784backed Yes47c852.41$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e21…c431backed Yes48c828.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a6…68efbacked Yes49c810.2$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e00…d922backed Yes50c795.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes46c782.54$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.57560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f9…0285backed No54c708.11$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.11425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb3…8234backed Yes44c676.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaa…fad2backed Yes48c655.28$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.28540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x296b…2cf2backed Yes62c650$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1313…8174backed No55c646.75$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No49c640$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58fa…5a5abacked Yes47c635.72$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad4…d4ddbacked Yes49c621.47$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7b…8091backed Yes47c533.34$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f5…1757backed Yes48c522.29$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.59520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x658b…c50fbacked Yes70c506.21$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5dd…3e45backed Yes52c490.23$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd3…7e19backed Yes49c490.11$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ed…7c84backed Yes43c465.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes43c460.65$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c06…078abacked Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3857…6704backed Yes48c443.63$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c66…fa08backed Yes44c422.8$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6229…b433backed Yes51c408.33$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1c…61d7backed Yes49c408.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e0…aab1backed Yes50c401.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfedc…0241backed Yes50c398.84$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7789…f823backed No52c394$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-65.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd60d…af6bbacked Yes47c387.23$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…b717backed Yes43c372.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No53c358.98$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.751233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x205f…332cbacked Yes43c348.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2002…7e67backed Yes49c318.16$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff10…fa87backed Yes50c296$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e4…5102backed No52c289.4$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+80.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed Yes43c263.6$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.25633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc63…62a5backed Yes60c258.29$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1620…da1dbacked Yes44c256.82$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa058…520abacked Yes48c242.17$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.375100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+74%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f67…c559backed Yes43c241.21$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb054…723cbacked Yes49c233.47$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ae…c02abacked Yes46c232.35$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f4…49e7backed No49c231.7$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.481050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…de73backed Yes44c231.32$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd3…f352backed Yes47c230.77$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x837a…0631backed Yes44c228.13$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a8…6ea3backed Yes44c227.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x296d…70f9backed Yes44c227.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3037…3168backed Yes49c227$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1b…adcdbacked Yes46c223.51$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e03…872abacked Yes44c222$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…d9f5backed Yes42c220.86$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…e491backed Yes46c219.09$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…e720backed Yes48c218.73$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa238…bbe0backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2748…bf11backed Yes43c215.49$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x527f…5942backed Yes49c211.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bee…de76backed Yes50c211.49$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd591…be9abacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc05…f600backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b32…6798backed Yes49c204.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ce…414cbacked Yes49c203.65$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7588…93fdbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8f…f082backed Yes51c196.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd177…4e75backed Yes51c195.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae26…1745backed Yes45c186.67$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeba8…c9fabacked Yes49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…da79backed Yes46c182.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2139…3a96backed Yes55c181.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f0…d9afbacked Yes44c168.59$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb3…b950backed No55c163.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0a…eb0ebacked Yes49c162.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b39…c72abacked No64c155.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64bd…6a4ebacked Yes47c145.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.