Boxing · resolved market
Will Ring of Fire have no official winner?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5132c321e88f5ebf1d5ce3b9620d27da379a6b27acde73257762ec35079d3cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 5c | 8,510$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 6c | 5,243$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yes | 4c | 5,150$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 6c | 3,867$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 6c | 3,281$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd1…ff29backed Yes | 16c | 3,116$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,740$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…b230backed Yes | 11c | 1,722$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Yes | 5c | 1,416$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…9629backed Yes | 8c | 1,150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ef…3758backed Yes | 4c | 967.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…d4ddbacked Yes | 6c | 843.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8065…b23ebacked Yes | 7c | 724.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…b433backed Yes | 7c | 669.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…1757backed Yes | 7c | 528.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6984backed Yes | 6c | 512.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…2cf2backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 5c | 431.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…fad2backed Yes | 6c | 409.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…c431backed Yes | 7c | 294.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…0279backed Yes | 7c | 289.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc7…167ebacked Yes | 5c | 260.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…078abacked Yes | 8c | 256.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2748…bf11backed Yes | 7c | 217.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8221…2a48backed Yes | 7c | 204.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074a…1d98backed Yes | 7c | 147.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64bd…6a4ebacked Yes | 7c | 146.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ring of Fire have no official winner?this page
- Will Oleksandr Usyk beat Tyson Fury in Ring of Fire?Yes won
- Will Tyson Fury beat Oleksandr Usyk in Ring of Fire?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.