MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59b86f6c121257932388e4cf29ac613062d79400227217b047193acc94665567
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Washington Nationals, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed New York Mets | 53c | 52,477$27,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,750.24 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 16,729$8,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,030 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked New York Mets | 37c | 14,100$5,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,882.97 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 37c | 12,654$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,004.03 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 9,819$6,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,578.94 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 63c | 9,104$5,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,727.62 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 8,962$4,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 6,262$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.93 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 5,344$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 4,911$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.67 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 4,885$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.26 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 51c | 4,590$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 4,288$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.82 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 3,314$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.76 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed New York Mets | 46c | 3,232$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.39 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 3,213$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.94 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 2,182$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.86 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed New York Mets | 51c | 1,576$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.59 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 1,453$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,430$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.34 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 1,405$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.49 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 51c | 1,224$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.82 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 1,125$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.25 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 51c | 1,037$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,033$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Mets | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed New York Mets | 56c | 999$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.56 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 978.91$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.07 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 900.03$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 826.11$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.69 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 43c | 738$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.17 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 717$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.33 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 699.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked New York Mets | 51c | 694.52$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.31 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked New York Mets | 52c | 623.38$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.09 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked New York Mets | 67c | 575.78$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.42 | 556 | 58.1%323 W · 233 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 511.44$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked New York Mets | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked New York Mets | 51c | 491.68$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.92 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 481.14$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 48c | 468.76$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.62 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed New York Mets | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 416.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Mets | 53c | 409.8$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.61 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 395.9$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.68 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed New York Mets | 79c | 377$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 350.76$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed New York Mets | 45c | 349$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.65 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Washington Nationals | 10c | 338$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 331.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…b200backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 296.02$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.69 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 275.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 258.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.53 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked New York Mets | 52c | 246.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 245.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed New York Mets | 56c | 234.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked New York Mets | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 208.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Washington Nationals | 27c | 205$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 194.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked New York Mets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked New York Mets | 56c | 188.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked New York Mets | 52c | 184$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…c435backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 175$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 161.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked New York Mets | 34c | 152.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 149.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Mets | 50c | 134.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe814…be87backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 134.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 273 | 52%142 W · 131 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed New York Mets | 52c | 125.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed New York Mets | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked New York Mets | 42c | 124.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed New York Mets | 51c | 119.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 51c | 119$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets | 44c | 118.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed New York Mets | 51c | 108$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed New York Mets | 71c | 100.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 51c | 98.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 95.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed New York Mets | 52c | 95.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsthis page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.