TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,773 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Detroit Tigers67c36,000$24,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,14098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals36c19,521$7,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,493.633,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals39c17,705$6,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,762.5211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Detroit Tigers52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers66c9,629$6,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,402.7510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Detroit Tigers64c8,049$5,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,151.3443554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals52c7,733$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.4695045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kansas City Royals36c7,402$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,737.426056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8405,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals55c5,022$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.5579442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers27c4,851$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.362,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals24c4,564$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.694,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals53c4,132$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.658,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Detroit Tigers64c3,094$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.9916947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Detroit Tigers64c2,525$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61619951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals42c2,491$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.444,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers31c2,470$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.028,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Detroit Tigers63c2,394$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.4144451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Detroit Tigers35c2,118$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.331,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c2…63d8backed Kansas City Royals62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.95955.9%33 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals36c1,604$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.546,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers29c1,544$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.698,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals62c1,520$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.5512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas City Royals49c1,503$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.854,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Detroit Tigers2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30504%2 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed Detroit Tigers2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30697.2%5 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+122.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers50c1,368$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6844,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Kansas City Royals68c1,248$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.3434650.9%176 W · 170 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals36c1,247$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.142,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Detroit Tigers2c1,203$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.07430%0 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Detroit Tigers74c1,131$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.0211759%69 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Detroit Tigers29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013225%33 W · 99 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals65c1,027$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.722,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Kansas City Royals36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64029046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Kansas City Royals60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40034756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals36c974.98$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.991,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Detroit Tigers36c885.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.081,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked Kansas City Royals62c826.98$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.846065%39 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals58c806.65$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.641,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Kansas City Royals36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51212448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Kansas City Royals38c789$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.0844953.7%241 W · 208 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Detroit Tigers34c698.42$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.981,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals30c689.58$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.194,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Kansas City Royals53c628$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.534952.7%184 W · 165 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Kansas City Royals49c625.93$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8960043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Detroit Tigers2c614.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.28533.8%2 W · 51 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Detroit Tigers38c582$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1628753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers26c552.8$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.585,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers33c552.54$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.283,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Kansas City Royals36c521$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.4445445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Kansas City Royals59c512.34$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7455645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Detroit Tigers35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17594034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Detroit Tigers47c493.21$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.672,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Kansas City Royals37c490$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.9394655.3%523 W · 423 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Kansas City Royals20c470.8$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.6416340.5%66 W · 97 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Kansas City Royals70c456.08$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.676550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Kansas City Royals59c453.22$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.829650%48 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers60c418$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.584,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Detroit Tigers64c412.45$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9735668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Detroit Tigers63c411.43$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.295252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Detroit Tigers31c402.64$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3644651.6%230 W · 216 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Detroit Tigers50c382$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19127952%145 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Detroit Tigers50c370.24$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.121,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Detroit Tigers64c338.46$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6148147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Kansas City Royals51c322.96$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.991,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Detroit Tigers49c322.58$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.153636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Kansas City Royals66c311.93$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2236759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Detroit Tigers64c307.45$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7737546.9%176 W · 199 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals52c305.39$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.391,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Kansas City Royals36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Kansas City Royals36c279.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.291749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals26c279.59$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.219,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Kansas City Royals37c270$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.139846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Detroit Tigers18c261.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4739739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Kansas City Royals77c257$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.351,10079.6%876 W · 224 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac37…b46bbacked Kansas City Royals39c247.59$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Detroit Tigers64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Detroit Tigers64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Kansas City Royals23c230$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7352053.8%280 W · 240 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb43e…8200backed Kansas City Royals37c223.93$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0822744.9%102 W · 125 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals36c219.97$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.781,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Detroit Tigers70c207$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9830140.5%122 W · 179 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Detroit Tigers49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9831844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Kansas City Royals40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12032850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Detroit Tigers64c199.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9950860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Kansas City Royals51c196.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3260348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Detroit Tigers62c192.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0612245.9%56 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Kansas City Royals58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Detroit Tigers50c164.75$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9848660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17b6…8ef6backed Detroit Tigers29c161.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.84436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0118…1366backed Kansas City Royals63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2561…ce3ebacked Kansas City Royals66c152.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5825249.6%125 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Kansas City Royals51c150.39$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.316539.4%65 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Detroit Tigers64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…2ac6backed Kansas City Royals71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.53470.6%24 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Kansas City Royals72c135.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.361,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81fa…c4d6backed Kansas City Royals76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals36c131.56$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.21,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.