Euroleague · resolved market
Manresa vs. La Laguna Tenerife
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f74fab24d9870e39eb88e61401e0cfbc600d733bfda8dff3aef05e70ffc07f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manresaof Manresa, La Laguna Tenerife
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,105 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked La Laguna Tenerife | 42c | 2,543$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.71 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Manresa | 46c | 1,069$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…f5aabacked Manresa | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked La Laguna Tenerife | 54c | 761.85$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Manresa | 21c | 687.24$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.49 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Manresa | 60c | 598.82$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.69 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Manresa | 46c | 489.13$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…6ff9backed Manresa | 61c | 278.17$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed La Laguna Tenerife | 53c | 241.41$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.45 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked La Laguna Tenerife | 27c | 233.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 30c | 164$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Manresa | 48c | 154.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Manresa | 48c | 146.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Manresa | 46c | 121.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed La Laguna Tenerife | 54c | 120.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked Manresa | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…b7debacked La Laguna Tenerife | 54c | 108.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Manresa | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Manresa | 50c | 99.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Manresa | 67c | 96.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…9f88backed Manresa | 48c | 92.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Manresa | 46c | 89.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Manresa | 47c | 89.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed La Laguna Tenerife | 54c | 76.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Manresa | 39c | 62.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Manresa | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Manresa | 70c | 45.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Manresa | 46c | 42.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed La Laguna Tenerife | 39c | 33.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Manresa | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Manresa | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Manresa | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Manresa | 46c | 32.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Manresa | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Manresa | 49c | 22.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.