WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6df5e905f918419a567978c848bc5c9b424fec158d5158da3025273095f37ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 53c | 268.87$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 208.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Under | 73c | 207$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b09…7dd1backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 37c | 173$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 160.42$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 106.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 69c | 85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 53c | 83.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 44c | 77.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 62c | 68.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Over | 35c | 53.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 36c | 52.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 42c | 49.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 53c | 49.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 36c | 45.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 68c | 44.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 37c | 28.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 64c | 21.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Under | 55c | 18.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 71c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.