WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe90d68466d3f321bd4403388b0a0517cfffbb71eacb6fd9b3f25913b84e17e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 2,783$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.64 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 2,721$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.12 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 50c | 872.72$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.36 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 768.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.63 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc1…5da4backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee2…30bbbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 399.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.71 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 54c | 373.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.15 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 307$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee6…dbe9backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…dcdebacked Under | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…8663backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 213.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…d068backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde73…1df9backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 49c | 194.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 185$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 48c | 180.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 140.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 52c | 117.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…8e15backed Under | 50c | 53.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…7c43backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Under | 50c | 42.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Over | 52c | 35.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 51c | 34.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 26.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 23.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Over | 49c | 21.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.