Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46cca0364cf64bb16a6410cdcf6c2e786493e3feea65d9da0a03ef2b136dacf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 48c | 45,317$21,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,666.11 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 22,930$11,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,085.94 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 53c | 12,581$6,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,954.92 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 5,357$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 2,215$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.44 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 46c | 1,385$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 996.99$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 893$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.05 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 821.34$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 54c | 683.33$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.22 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Over | 62c | 442.62$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.62 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 55c | 395$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 32c | 196.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 50c | 167$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 51c | 109$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Under | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 75c | 99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 52c | 79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Over | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 68.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Over | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 49c | 51.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Under | 47c | 40.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 30.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 53c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…027cbacked Over | 54c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 158.5this page
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio BobcatsOhio Bobcats won
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 156.5Over won
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 157.5Over won
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-3.5)Massachusetts Minutemen won
- Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-4.5)Massachusetts Minutemen won
- Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-5.5)Massachusetts Minutemen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.