Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2cb77c8c536337d9400885abfb1e3afcb9b4ef454b7f7dc9ecb31d006971a01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 46,045$32,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,398.33 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 32c | 44,330$14,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,092.41 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 19,544$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.41 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes | 15c | 13,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,333.33 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 15c | 10,333$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,783.33 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 7,853$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 15c | 7,055$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,996.75 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f8…a834backed Yes | 15c | 5,180$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.06 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.33 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 74c | 3,095$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.09 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 21c | 2,213$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.93 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 2c | 2,167$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 7c | 1,922$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 15c | 1,681$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.74 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 22c | 1,673$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.89 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 56c | 1,625$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.01 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 47c | 1,570$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.15 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.99 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 30c | 1,140$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 1,096$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.21 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 79c | 1,059$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.25 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 43c | 1,015$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.98 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 14c | 999.92$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.93 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed No | 14c | 857.66$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 845.7$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.56 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Yes | 67c | 834.88$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.51 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 728.52$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.55 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…11aebacked Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Yes | 15c | 651.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.09 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 65c | 525.43$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.71 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yes | 14c | 473.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…cdb2backed No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 14c | 383.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.81 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 42c | 340$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.27 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 34c | 255.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…275abacked Yes | 18c | 249.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.95 | 103 | 8.7%9 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 39c | 236.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Yes | 67c | 215.82$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…3ee2backed Yes | 78c | 192.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 33c | 181.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 43c | 172.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Yes | 72c | 170.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 49c | 165.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 25c | 164$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 296 | 39.9%118 W · 178 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Yes | 72c | 163.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…e5d7backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yes | 67c | 160$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…ed6dbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 38c | 136.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfd…29a4backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 56c | 123.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 28c | 121.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…3b86backed Yes | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Yes | 15c | 106.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 44c | 103.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed No | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 202 | 24.3%49 W · 153 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 76c | 92.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…2140backed No | 30c | 87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x262c…5f00backed Yes | 15c | 86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Yes | 80c | 80.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 66c | 77.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Yes | 69c | 71.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 29c | 70.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 30c | 65.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 62c | 53.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…95a0backed Yes | 69c | 52.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 31c | 49.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Yes | 65c | 49.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…f2d7backed Yes | 74c | 47.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 42c | 46.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed No | 80c | 36.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…cdecbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 65c | 33.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 36c | 33.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…7eb1backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 38c | 28.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…e85dbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…4969backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…a6a3backed Yes | 72c | 19.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 162 | 64.2%104 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…ba9cbacked Yes | 66c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand leading at halftime?this page
- Egypt leading at halftime?No won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.