New Zealand vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x838a711f66834da37fb8e192bb938978530846ded4295aa9d2591ead361254aa

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $104,541
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $101,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,541 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	74c	29,027$21,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,497.28	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	11c	13,820$1,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,549.01	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	26c	8,046$2,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,084.65	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes	28c	7,157$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	43c	5,347$2,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,273.05	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	43c	5,178$2,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,208.97	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Yes	49c	3,511$1,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,703.49	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa15c…2c27backed Yes	43c	2,897$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,245.81	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	66cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes	2c	2,105$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.1	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	58c	2,089$1,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.4	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No	58c	1,699$985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.48	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13dc…09fdbacked Yes	42c	1,515$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.28	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	58c	1,427$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.45	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes	43c	1,259$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.39	142	32.4%46 W · 96 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	14c	1,225$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.3	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	71c	1,162$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.75	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No	79c	1,102$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.23	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86f0…2896backed Yes	5c	999.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	182	31.9%58 W · 124 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc826…fcb3backed Yes	43c	617.21$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.4	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	33c	590.14$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.05	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No	72c	536.03$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.13	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes	42c	499.93$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.97	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	57c	437.99$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.33	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	29c	429.94$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.37	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked No	54c	429.02$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.05	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes	16c	412.5$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	84	27.4%23 W · 61 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No	58c	400$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes	47c	382.1$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.76	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330a…0e45backed Yes	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	108	38%41 W · 67 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes	43c	335$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.05	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+8.2wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Yes	49c	303.84$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.88	139	41%57 W · 82 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Yes	42c	300$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	399	56.6%226 W · 173 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	58c	276.5$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.13	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c38…e679backed Yes	43c	274.56$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.06	93	25.8%24 W · 69 L	-8.1wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2668…9555backed Yes	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x561e…c991backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	109	38.5%42 W · 67 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd883…714ebacked Yes	42c	237.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	57c	219.99$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.99	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	198	23.7%47 W · 151 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes	41c	199.96$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.98	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	360	24.4%88 W · 272 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes	42c	190.48$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	133	29.3%39 W · 94 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No	51c	189.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.84	190	26.3%50 W · 140 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a3f…16bfbacked Yes	27c	185.18$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes	42c	180.62$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.86	210	48.6%102 W · 108 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No	66c	176.87$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.97	363	35.8%130 W · 233 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No	67c	175.23$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.62	326	39%127 W · 199 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes	43c	159.47$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.57	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed No	72c	156.61$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.86	334	38.6%129 W · 205 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x367f…18b5backed Yes	26c	155.32$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.05	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8c…116dbacked Yes	43c	151.16$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	28c	141.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.78	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes	42c	139$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.38	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes	43c	132.56$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	163	42.9%70 W · 93 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked No	58c	120.69$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.69	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No	66c	120.14$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.58	361	39.1%141 W · 220 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	19c	120$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.63	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes	38c	119.93$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	104	35.6%37 W · 67 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1312…e932backed Yes	25c	117.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd28…449dbacked Yes	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	37.6%67 W · 111 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No	66c	116.22$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.49	344	38.4%132 W · 212 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Yes	19c	105$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	202	24.3%49 W · 153 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes	32c	104$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.79	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x411d…a0b1backed Yes	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes	31c	100.65$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.42	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	238	38.7%92 W · 146 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Yes	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	300	40.3%121 W · 179 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff38…738dbacked Yes	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	114	41.2%47 W · 67 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c6…86b4backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No	57c	99.99$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No	74c	98$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.04	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc532…e86fbacked Yes	15c	97.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x038f…78a8backed Yes	27c	93.83$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.25per pick	18cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	43c	81.56$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.07	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No	76c	81.3$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.12	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Yes	41c	80$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.8	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	58c	79.31$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.31	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	203	37.9%77 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No	74c	76.13$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.1	342	38.6%132 W · 210 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed No	74c	73.88$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.04	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…c897backed Yes	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No	57c	67.5$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.03	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d7…f41abacked No	59c	67.21$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.77	257	48.6%125 W · 132 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed Yes	43c	65.12$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No	52c	58$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.84	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+19.7wins	+0.16per pick	40cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed No	52c	58$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.84	131	58.8%77 W · 54 L	+26.4wins	+0.20per pick	39cpaid	+82.8%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No	53c	56.96$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.8	142	60.6%86 W · 56 L	+25.7wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed No	54c	55.98$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.82	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+20.4wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x72ed…9e8dbacked Yes	35c	51.31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9eb…75cebacked No	58c	50.2$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.03	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.33per pick	53cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No	58c	49.99$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.24	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No	58c	49.96$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.98	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	73c	49.5$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No	68c	48.08$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.37	351	36.8%129 W · 222 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed No	64c	46.44$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.86	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e60…da40backed Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New Zealand vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?this page
Egypt leading at halftime?No won
New Zealand leading at halftime?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New Zealand vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event