NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec8530daba0d3d084e3b09a681960caea00da7733442b950dd2748a31b3b842d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $813,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $902,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $813,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Bulls | 29c | 58,338$17,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,285.89 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Bulls | 76c | 43,354$32,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,609.66 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Lakers | 1c | 38,053$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.88 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Bulls | 58c | 23,800$13,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,044.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Bulls | 45c | 20,157$9,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,066.22 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Lakers | 40c | 20,116$8,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,106.22 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lakers | 56c | 16,926$9,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,425.65 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 52c | 16,273$8,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406.98 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 21c | 15,264$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,058.67 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Lakers | 59c | 11,610$6,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,801.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 53c | 10,993$5,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,810.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Lakers | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers | 74c | 9,502$7,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,064.87 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Lakers | 79c | 9,417$7,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,444.81 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Lakers | 67c | 9,018$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Bulls | 21c | 8,300$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,550.89 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers | 2c | 8,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Bulls | 19c | 7,111$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,738.2 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Lakers | 80c | 6,850$5,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,480.01 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lakers | 39c | 6,190$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.51 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls | 78c | 5,563$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.69 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Lakers | 22c | 5,004$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bulls | 22c | 4,650$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.75 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers | 67c | 4,124$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.22 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Bulls | 71c | 4,000$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.01 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Bulls | 21c | 3,627$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.97 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Bulls | 20c | 3,335$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.6 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 79c | 3,113$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.06 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lakers | 80c | 2,920$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.27 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Lakers | 71c | 2,816$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.36 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lakers | 79c | 2,700$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Lakers | 78c | 2,509$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.86 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bulls | 67c | 2,314$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.55 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers | 69c | 2,300$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bulls | 80c | 2,295$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.57 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Bulls | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Lakers | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Bulls | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lakers | 78c | 2,000$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.95 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 75c | 2,000$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.99 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Lakers | 74c | 1,965$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.19 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lakers | 61c | 1,963$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.74 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Bulls | 23c | 1,953$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…4350backed Lakers | 78c | 1,746$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Bulls | 25c | 1,726$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.49 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lakers | 3c | 1,550$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Bulls | 35c | 1,447$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.57 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Bulls | 38c | 1,352$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bulls | 38c | 1,300$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.77 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lakers | 78c | 1,300$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.26 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Lakers | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Lakers | 80c | 1,247$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.21 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bulls | 45c | 1,220$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.72 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lakers | 14c | 1,179$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Lakers | 34c | 1,103$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers | 79c | 1,090$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.1 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…f823backed Lakers | 45c | 1,050$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Lakers | 16c | 1,050$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Bulls | 59c | 1,030$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.35 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Lakers | 79c | 1,005$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.95 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…db29backed Lakers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bulls | 22c | 1,000$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.95 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Lakers | 79c | 999$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.21 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 20c | 985.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.43 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Lakers | 73c | 957.88$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Bulls | 23c | 954.9$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.9 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Lakers | 80c | 944.67$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.05 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Bulls | 75c | 917.49$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.2 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Lakers | 53c | 913.36$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.79 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…b4f9backed Bulls | 79c | 887$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Bulls | 26c | 866.35$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.3 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Lakers | 36c | 819.42$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 48c | 809.37$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Bulls | 22c | 750$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Lakers | 78c | 738.27$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.85 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…602cbacked Bulls | 73c | 716.23$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…db97backed Lakers | 79c | 650$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…462cbacked Lakers | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…eaa3backed Lakers | 80c | 600$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Lakers | 67c | 600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Lakers | 79c | 591.94$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.63 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked Lakers | 79c | 570$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.3 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Lakers | 78c | 561.02$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.6 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Lakers | 37c | 543.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Bulls | 68c | 530.59$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.79 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Lakers | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Lakers | 78c | 503.17$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Lakers | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…1bd6backed Bulls | 17c | 499.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.88 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dad…0668backed Lakers | 79c | 492$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Bulls | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Lakers | 79c | 440.91$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.41 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…5c9abacked Lakers | 79c | 439.91$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.