WNBA · resolved market
Aces vs Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9696dbd0ac701a27052e3f5a4eead4b1313d4736be83d69c686681e45837a92d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mysticsof Aces, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Aces | 41c | 2,902$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mystics | 56c | 2,763$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.97 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mystics | 36c | 2,757$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.82 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mystics | 59c | 2,400$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Aces | 42c | 2,360$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mystics | 39c | 1,994$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.09 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Aces | 69c | 1,636$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.02 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aces | 42c | 1,599$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.39 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Aces | 40c | 1,431$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.51 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Mystics | 60c | 1,422$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mystics | 42c | 1,291$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.71 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Aces | 50c | 1,137$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.37 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aces | 1c | 997.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mystics | 66c | 800.47$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.67 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mystics | 32c | 607.75$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.27 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 36c | 606.41$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.59 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mystics | 59c | 599.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Aces | 38c | 427.03$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mystics | 41c | 420$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mystics | 58c | 412$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mystics | 54c | 336.98$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Aces | 42c | 321.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Aces | 42c | 237.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Mystics | 57c | 233$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Aces | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Aces | 43c | 203$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mystics | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mystics | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Aces | 44c | 170.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Mystics | 36c | 133.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mystics | 58c | 126.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Aces | 40c | 121.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Mystics | 76c | 109.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Aces | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Aces | 45c | 97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Mystics | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Aces | 42c | 72.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Aces | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Aces | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Aces | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b30…0798backed Aces | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Mystics | 60c | 44.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Aces | 70c | 43.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Mystics | 60c | 33.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Aces | 42c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Aces | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…5374backed Aces | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…399ebacked Aces | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ad…8bf2backed Aces | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.