Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Belmont Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09a77c857973761b75b608ea17851e15674f89ac5e1746281d6969a94588ffea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Illinois Salukisof Southern Illinois Salukis, Belmont Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 27c | 3,016$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Belmont Bruins | 76c | 2,261$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.02 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Belmont Bruins | 9c | 2,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Belmont Bruins | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 24c | 852.29$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…fe83backed Belmont Bruins | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Belmont Bruins | 10c | 600$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.41 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Belmont Bruins | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Belmont Bruins | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Belmont Bruins | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 14c | 198.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.63 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 47c | 173.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Belmont Bruins | 24c | 146$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Belmont Bruins | 76c | 131.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Belmont Bruins | 78c | 128.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 25c | 119$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 32c | 81.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Belmont Bruins | 62c | 60.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Belmont Bruins | 73c | 52.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 27c | 47.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Belmont Bruins | 77c | 47.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Belmont Bruins | 61c | 30.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Belmont Bruins | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Belmont Bruins | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Belmont Bruinsthis page
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Belmont Bruins: O/U 159.5Under won
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Belmont Bruins: O/U 160.5Under won
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Belmont Bruins: O/U 161.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.