Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b1c81bb844cb5d32258ead7687f1f3ea0721fcca98b65feedbf4dbcfa0ef5ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 62c | 2,092$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.31 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,595$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.95 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 1,212$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 54c | 1,125$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.18 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…0745backed Yes | 1c | 1,096$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 49c | 1,090$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.64 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 41c | 692.9$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.26 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 36c | 677.29$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 29c | 603.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 66c | 522$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.73 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 69c | 520.26$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 55c | 470.3$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…d8cdbacked Yes | 38c | 454.94$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 17c | 429.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 57c | 418.56$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.65 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 392.1$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed Yes | 49c | 330.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.43 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 47c | 248.32$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 29c | 235.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 230.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 71c | 215.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 53c | 212.43$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 14c | 177.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 170.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 44c | 168$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x734b…2a2cbacked Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 41c | 144.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Yes | 33c | 143.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 55c | 142.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 130.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 30c | 128$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 31c | 123.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 119.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 46c | 117.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 54c | 116.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 32c | 115.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 61c | 111.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 63c | 111.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 53c | 108.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 41c | 99.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…48cfbacked Yes | 52c | 95.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…e8c2backed Yes | 38c | 91.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…0bcebacked Yes | 34c | 91.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 61c | 88.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…9642backed Yes | 57c | 88.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 27c | 88.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 25c | 85.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 47c | 84.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 60c | 84.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 53c | 84.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 32c | 81.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 49c | 78.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 75.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…b02abacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 28c | 74.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 40c | 74.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 60c | 73.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 62c | 72.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Yes | 62c | 70.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed No | 60c | 70.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 25c | 70.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…3e7abacked Yes | 37c | 69.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked No | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…59eebacked Yes | 23c | 65.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 25c | 59.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…08e3backed Yes | 34c | 58.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed No | 71c | 57.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 37c | 55.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 70c | 54.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 46c | 52.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 32c | 52.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…c418backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7082backed Yes | 29c | 49.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…faddbacked Yes | 51c | 49.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 60c | 46.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 69c | 45.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 54c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…d314backed Yes | 48c | 44.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 25c | 43.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…8993backed No | 66c | 41.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 51c | 41.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 52c | 40.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce1…3a27backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 26c | 38.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 53c | 37.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b4…6bb9backed Yes | 35c | 35.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 74c | 32.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…d262backed No | 79c | 31.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed No | 58c | 31.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…46aebacked Yes | 35c | 30.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.