Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba5c876007dd2ed370eacc9436893e6ae5946afd05f51c6662b6bd6de887de55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 0c | 7,765$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed Yes | 0c | 3,799$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 48c | 1,796$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.47 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 39c | 1,530$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.58 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 66c | 1,518$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.6 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 17c | 1,446$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.62 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,232$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.82 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 58c | 968$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.17 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed No | 40c | 744.54$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.49 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 32c | 630.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.07 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 36c | 618.4$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 63c | 585.46$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.67 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 49c | 565.2$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.82 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…84bfbacked Yes | 50c | 511.06$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 204 | 45.1%92 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 42c | 450.28$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.3 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 37c | 407.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…41e6backed Yes | 77c | 383.41$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 12c | 362.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 52c | 355.23$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.65 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 13c | 337.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…8b09backed No | 56c | 291.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…d8b2backed Yes | 69c | 289$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 16c | 287.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 48c | 284.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 38c | 282.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.65 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 42c | 273.05$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.27 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 51c | 260$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 27c | 258.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 36c | 249.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 46c | 241.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 27c | 237.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 10c | 231.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 53c | 227.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 69c | 224.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…261ebacked Yes | 76c | 218.48$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…d402backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…251fbacked No | 39c | 214.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +16.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 78c | 210$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed Yes | 38c | 207.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked No | 73c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 22c | 182$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 57c | 166.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 15c | 166$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 165.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 64c | 157.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 16c | 149.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 39c | 146.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 39c | 143.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 19c | 138.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 46c | 134.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 80c | 134.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 11c | 133.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 61c | 128.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…e526backed Yes | 17c | 119.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e18…ad5bbacked Yes | 20c | 117.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed Yes | 48c | 115.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 76c | 113.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 47c | 110.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 77c | 108.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e3…3dfdbacked No | 79c | 101.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 148 | 78.4%116 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed No | 30c | 101.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…eb5cbacked No | 30c | 100.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…86b4backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 20c | 99.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 96.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…79b1backed No | 28c | 95.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 22c | 95.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 62c | 92.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 38c | 89.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 76c | 86.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…03eabacked Yes | 17c | 86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 116 | 12.1%14 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked No | 34c | 82.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 33c | 80.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 34c | 78.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…f2dabacked No | 37c | 70.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…3e7abacked Yes | 22c | 69.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6882backed No | 48c | 68.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…1c86backed No | 30c | 67.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 77c | 64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 78c | 63.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 55c | 60.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Yes | 65c | 60.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 51c | 54.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 44c | 52.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 53c | 51.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…1c78backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…feb5backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 41c | 49.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 62c | 49.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…6ff7backed No | 26c | 48.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 52c | 46.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104d…5abbbacked No | 56c | 43.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 68c | 42.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked No | 49c | 42.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 57c | 40.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.