Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4cbb5eafe98bc87665c423e8cbff677ec765e310839286dd719d3ea122c8236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VARRELof VARREL, ZETA DIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked VARREL | 78c | 3,895$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.99 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked ZETA DIVISION | 21c | 1,340$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.28 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed ZETA DIVISION | 3c | 799.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…d9e6backed ZETA DIVISION | 53c | 742.23$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ZETA DIVISION | 26c | 528.02$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.62 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked ZETA DIVISION | 45c | 519.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ZETA DIVISION | 30c | 424.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed VARREL | 39c | 399.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ZETA DIVISION | 18c | 394.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed VARREL | 71c | 302.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ZETA DIVISION | 19c | 295.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ZETA DIVISION | 20c | 204$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ZETA DIVISION | 39c | 198.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed ZETA DIVISION | 46c | 152.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked ZETA DIVISION | 34c | 134.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…1f47backed ZETA DIVISION | 33c | 127.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed VARREL | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked VARREL | 52c | 89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked ZETA DIVISION | 68c | 88.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed ZETA DIVISION | 14c | 81.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked ZETA DIVISION | 31c | 64.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ZETA DIVISION | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked ZETA DIVISION | 56c | 51.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed ZETA DIVISION | 20c | 50.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked ZETA DIVISION | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked VARREL | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ZETA DIVISION | 41c | 32.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed ZETA DIVISION | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked VARREL | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaZETA DIVISION won
- Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 WinnerZETA DIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.