Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7768426b9e1760426522766bb3bd85686e119f756150ae9d81314cd224ac2402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof Cloud9, Leviatán Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69db…283abacked Cloud9 | 34c | 973.83$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.31 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Leviatán Esports | 66c | 732.74$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.13 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Leviatán Esports | 65c | 250.39$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Cloud9 | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Cloud9 | 34c | 98.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Leviatán Esports | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Cloud9 | 24c | 81.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cloud9 | 29c | 78.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Leviatán Esports | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Leviatán Esports | 66c | 65.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ed…4fdbbacked Cloud9 | 34c | 45.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Leviatán Esports | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Leviatán Esports | 66c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.