CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe726de5ae9eeeca3af59338422782095444d3c371bf59258f016ed96a0a40c47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof Rebels Gaming, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked VP.Prodigy | 53c | 1,739$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.77 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Rebels Gaming | 28c | 765.06$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.49 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rebels Gaming | 50c | 638.22$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked VP.Prodigy | 55c | 330.07$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.48 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Rebels Gaming | 47c | 280.56$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.86 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Rebels Gaming | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rebels Gaming | 43c | 147.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Rebels Gaming | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked VP.Prodigy | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 131$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Rebels Gaming | 47c | 130.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rebels Gaming | 20c | 104.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Rebels Gaming | 65c | 93.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Rebels Gaming | 48c | 93.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…44edbacked Rebels Gaming | 71c | 90.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Rebels Gaming | 48c | 83.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed VP.Prodigy | 68c | 79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rebels Gaming | 23c | 74.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Rebels Gaming | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…375ebacked VP.Prodigy | 48c | 58.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Rebels Gaming | 39c | 51.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Rebels Gaming | 46c | 43.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed VP.Prodigy | 69c | 38.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Rebels Gaming | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Rebels Gaming | 47c | 31.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed Rebels Gaming | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked VP.Prodigy | 46c | 27.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…9c6abacked VP.Prodigy | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Rebels Gaming | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…af32backed Rebels Gaming | 70c | 21.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c9…d487backed VP.Prodigy | 68c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…c09abacked Rebels Gaming | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs VP.Prodigy - Map 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.