TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c9,272$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes5c4,716$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes5c3,953$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes5c3,550$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0313…4b9dbacked Yes5c3,324$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes4c2,243$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2135110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes5c1,911$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.671,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes5c1,224$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce63…57f5backed Yes5c1,021$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-55.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Yes8c999.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804825%12 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes4c968.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.498134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes2c823.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.824,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes4c694$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.291,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd31d…3d13backed Yes8c636.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506741.8%28 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3510…d3bdbacked Yes4c629.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes4c586.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23545.6%3 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes4c577.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.151,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d4…5ee8backed Yes5c489.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244418.2%8 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-47.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99b7…fd89backed Yes4c462.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20170%0 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes7c450.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa84b…f23cbacked Yes4c441.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.433710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202222.7%5 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…4c62backed Yes4c341.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6e…2c9bbacked Yes5c312.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes4c296.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1656022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes4c228.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0720911%23 W · 186 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.