Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd372fe46e3c63305f997d42573386546422ee6ce422a17cb1ddb92b33435fdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 26,239$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 7c | 3,425$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 10c | 3,069$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.2 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36e…538fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,014$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed Yes | 6c | 2,810$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…9ac0backed Yes | 14c | 2,178$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…4d84backed Yes | 6c | 1,805$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 6c | 1,744$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…4b9dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,533$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 7c | 1,371$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Yes | 12c | 1,300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe805…5c37backed Yes | 8c | 1,298$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,188$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 13c | 1,158$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f22…8806backed Yes | 16c | 1,111$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…68cebacked Yes | 5c | 1,033$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…018abacked Yes | 5c | 926.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…50f5backed Yes | 6c | 925.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…33d5backed Yes | 5c | 924.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes | 24c | 837.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 6c | 764.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 6c | 693$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 6c | 520$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f8…2062backed Yes | 12c | 518.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…ddf8backed Yes | 5c | 481.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 7c | 466$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e7…31f3backed Yes | 11c | 462.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 6c | 461.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 6c | 460.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…69ccbacked Yes | 7c | 452.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…0c67backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…1276backed Yes | 6c | 409.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…3d13backed Yes | 13c | 393.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…68b9backed Yes | 14c | 347.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…964abacked Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…5751backed Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f4…90a2backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…cdf1backed Yes | 6c | 324.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 7c | 308$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 5c | 299.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…3e3bbacked Yes | 5c | 284.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…5ef1backed Yes | 5c | 277.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…7a89backed Yes | 5c | 270$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x271a…c75abacked Yes | 8c | 256.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes | 6c | 250.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…ef7fbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…845dbacked Yes | 6c | 234.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 6c | 231.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 6c | 200.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…47a9backed Yes | 8c | 193.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8faa…1b5cbacked Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…a54ebacked Yes | 6c | 180$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 12c | 173.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 7c | 150.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb938…08acbacked Yes | 12c | 149.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6f…31aebacked Yes | 7c | 146.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…5648backed Yes | 17c | 114.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4593…e072backed Yes | 12c | 104.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 202 | 24.3%49 W · 153 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2462…d7e4backed Yes | 15c | 68.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?Yes won
- Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.