Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1c07b0951e95d95f463652a7d365c65c2d223f4ec1d018aa9ef1a82bb6b9f3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 7,063$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.52 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…4b9dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,832$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…9ac0backed Yes | 11c | 3,925$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…6343backed Yes | 3c | 3,016$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,236$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 3c | 2,039$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 1c | 1,897$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 3c | 1,850$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…33d5backed Yes | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes | 14c | 1,406$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 3c | 1,145$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…c71ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…b297backed Yes | 11c | 1,027$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 10c | 962.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f4…90a2backed Yes | 3c | 869.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc843…32b7backed Yes | 12c | 859.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 6c | 767$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…d1bebacked Yes | 13c | 763.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…d4e6backed Yes | 13c | 757.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 4c | 738.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…befcbacked Yes | 10c | 737.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 691$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 3c | 682$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e7…31f3backed Yes | 10c | 666.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…f23cbacked Yes | 3c | 647.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 4c | 575.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…78e5backed Yes | 10c | 511.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 6c | 507.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…5278backed Yes | 10c | 490.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 10.8%20 W · 165 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea13…7bc1backed Yes | 11c | 390.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 3c | 388.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 3c | 386.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f5…e6d3backed Yes | 13c | 372.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…0a8bbacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 12c | 338.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…4dc9backed Yes | 4c | 307.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…603cbacked Yes | 10c | 249.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…a7febacked Yes | 12c | 245.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 11c | 237.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…792abacked Yes | 9c | 210.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412e…8f23backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…caf2backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…ee47backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…7a89backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x951a…8c9dbacked Yes | 12c | 172.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 9c | 157.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1d…fe66backed Yes | 10c | 112.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…d63ebacked Yes | 10c | 105.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…2542backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?Yes won
- Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.