Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Thasaporn Naklo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x703113197f943ef25d3c2a40db87f56060bf36142902380c40cff6fe38ac78c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chengyiyi Yuanof Chengyiyi Yuan, Thasaporn Naklo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2978…b511backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 25c | 4,955$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.15 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Thasaporn Naklo | 48c | 3,840$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.91 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 16c | 552.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.6 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thasaporn Naklo | 30c | 550.85$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 58c | 460$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 48c | 430.8$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.36 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 48c | 279.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 39c | 258.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.54 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Thasaporn Naklo | 80c | 252.48$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Thasaporn Naklo | 10c | 251$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Thasaporn Naklo | 56c | 195.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 73c | 191$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thasaporn Naklo | 61c | 175.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 73c | 166.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 37c | 161.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 51c | 156.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 55c | 105.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 40c | 99.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…9a3abacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 24c | 88.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 20c | 83.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 61c | 81.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 19c | 73.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 37c | 66.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Thasaporn Naklo | 56c | 58.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 60c | 53.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Thasaporn Naklo | 62c | 50.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thasaporn Naklo | 62c | 42.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 44c | 37.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 76c | 28.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 168 | 73.8%124 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 69c | 19.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Thasaporn Naklo | 62c | 19.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.