Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Lars Goran Verwerft vs Michael Geerts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa148d96a0a35992b9fee74a65f90417d8152a024dc7c0cd6efa5b17ef5326926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lars Goran Verwerftof Lars Goran Verwerft, Michael Geerts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 32c | 11,333$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,695.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Michael Geerts | 77c | 5,657$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,381.19 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Michael Geerts | 44c | 5,652$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.5 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 52c | 5,552$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.44 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Michael Geerts | 75c | 2,010$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 8c | 1,966$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.25 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Michael Geerts | 67c | 1,640$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Michael Geerts | 73c | 1,020$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.7 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Michael Geerts | 62c | 967.55$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.35 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…1248backed Michael Geerts | 62c | 855$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Michael Geerts | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 37c | 761.22$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 58c | 758$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.13 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 42c | 695.65$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.17 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Michael Geerts | 20c | 475.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Michael Geerts | 73c | 400.25$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.18 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Michael Geerts | 53c | 360.87$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 55c | 301.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 16c | 173.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Michael Geerts | 44c | 162.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 34c | 138.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…950bbacked Michael Geerts | 35c | 131.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 37c | 128.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 36c | 127.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 29c | 124.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Michael Geerts | 80c | 118.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 78c | 105.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Michael Geerts | 40c | 98.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 42c | 88.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…dff4backed Michael Geerts | 79c | 88.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 40c | 80.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 54c | 73.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Michael Geerts | 77c | 67.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 45c | 61.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 68c | 55.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 39c | 55.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Michael Geerts | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 52c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Michael Geerts | 53c | 47.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 43c | 46.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Michael Geerts | 80c | 46.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 47c | 45.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 40c | 37.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…da8cbacked Michael Geerts | 42c | 30.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 57c | 27.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 57c | 25.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 57c | 25.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 57c | 23.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 57c | 23.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 57c | 23.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 58c | 21.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Michael Geerts | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Michael Geerts | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Michael Geerts | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 73c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Lars Goran Verwerft vs Michael Geertsthis page
- ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Completed Match: Lars Goran Verwerft vs Michael GeertsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.