South American Leagues · resolved market
Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0705fca8489efd0328297980c627ee8b4fc1c334ee9b5f4c8d1c58ece9e38569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 49c | 2,337$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.26 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 2,242$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.34 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 27c | 1,786$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.34 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 881.9$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Over | 41c | 599.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 592.75$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 73c | 546.13$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 34c | 320.51$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 314.77$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 43c | 294.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 48c | 273.7$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 201.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 71c | 172.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 62c | 170.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 170.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 114.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Over | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 87.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Under | 39c | 76.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 31c | 69.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…b591backed Under | 72c | 59.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 51c | 58.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 28c | 57.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 30c | 52.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 73c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 73c | 30.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 54c | 28.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…9053backed Under | 74c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 51c | 26.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 73c | 17.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 15.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 73c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Under | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5)O'Higgins FC won
- Spread: O'Higgins FC (-1.5)Millonarios FC won
- Spread: O'Higgins FC (-2.5)Millonarios FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.