CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x505aba7e87f5ead55ffa3174c138bb19b025f708f1c4fbac477f1553650599ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, 25 cents
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1db…c825backed 25 cents | 8c | 1,140$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77e…c8cdbacked 25 cents | 6c | 1,139$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…82c4backed 25 cents | 6c | 1,133$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf976…e105backed 25 cents | 6c | 1,099$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…c6b3backed 25 cents | 6c | 1,086$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…829cbacked 25 cents | 7c | 1,070$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…4db4backed 25 cents | 7c | 1,070$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ef…5955backed 25 cents | 7c | 1,070$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…d65ebacked 25 cents | 7c | 1,050$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120c…369ebacked 25 cents | 6c | 1,048$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…bf39backed 25 cents | 6c | 1,048$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…0850backed 25 cents | 6c | 1,035$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf94…7ed1backed 25 cents | 10c | 1,025$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…c643backed 25 cents | 8c | 1,021$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…8f4abacked 25 cents | 6c | 1,021$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…17b5backed 25 cents | 11c | 1,020$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748b…800ebacked 25 cents | 10c | 1,015$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…2cf8backed 25 cents | 7c | 1,015$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…17bcbacked 25 cents | 7c | 1,015$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…e85bbacked 25 cents | 7c | 1,010$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…d093backed 25 cents | 7c | 1,010$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…169bbacked 25 cents | 6c | 1,010$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed 25 cents | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…9f59backed 25 cents | 6c | 996.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…b6a0backed 25 cents | 6c | 992$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…bc69backed 25 cents | 6c | 990$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…9b0dbacked 25 cents | 11c | 985.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4aa…5773backed 25 cents | 7c | 979.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…e939backed 25 cents | 11c | 973.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f0eabacked 25 cents | 5c | 971$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…7d31backed 25 cents | 7c | 970$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeba…988dbacked 25 cents | 11c | 823.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed 25 cents | 4c | 430$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked 25 cents | 9c | 317.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…b591backed 25 cents | 19c | 77.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…158ebacked 25 cents | 27c | 45.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…be06backed 25 cents | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed 25 cents | 28c | 36.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed BESTIA | 51c | 34.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed BESTIA | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked BESTIA | 68c | 21.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed BESTIA | 64c | 15.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed BESTIA | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs 25 cents (+1.5)BESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.